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Ice Lab

Sat, May 1, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Calgary Flames 1, Edmonton Oilers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 77% of the time.

EDM winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Smith
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Nurse, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 3:54Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 3:55Välimäki: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kulikov, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Puljujarvi, McLeod · CGY Stone, Ritchie, Monahan, Mangiapane, Välimäki

  7. P1 4:01Shot by Chiasson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  8. P1 4:46Goal by McDavid (Draisaitl, Barrie)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Nordstrom, Ryan

  9. P1 5:29Shot by Kulikov, saved by Markstrom
  10. P1 5:34Shot by Kahun, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 6:27Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Smith
  12. P1 7:09Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 7:19Goal by Bear (McDavid, Draisaitl)+12 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear, Jones, Yamamoto · CGY Nesterov, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Tkachuk

  14. P1 7:43Shot by Välimäki, saved by Smith
  15. P1 9:01Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 9:22Bear: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear, Jones, Yamamoto · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Ritchie, Monahan, Mangiapane

  17. P1 11:24Shot by Nesterov, saved by Smith
  18. P1 12:11Nurse: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Kulikov, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, McDavid, Yamamoto · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Nordstrom, Robinson, Monahan, Ryan

  19. P1 12:18Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith4v5
  20. P1 12:29Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Smith4v5
  21. P1 14:31Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:49Shot by McDavid, saved by Markstrom
  25. P2 4:15Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Markstrom
  26. P2 5:04Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Smith
  27. P2 5:27Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith
  28. P2 7:57Shot by Chiasson, saved by Markstrom6v5
  29. P2 7:58Lucic: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Puljujarvi, McLeod · CGY Giordano, Backlund, Tanev, Ritchie, Mangiapane

  30. P2 8:06Shot by Chiasson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  31. P2 8:10Shot by Chiasson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  32. P2 9:03Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Markstrom5v4
  33. P2 9:21Shot by McDavid, saved by Markstrom5v4
  34. P2 9:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith5v4
  35. P2 9:48Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Markstrom5v4
  36. P2 9:57Shot by Bear, saved by Markstrom5v4
  37. P2 10:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Smith
  38. P2 10:48Goal by Gaudreau (Tkachuk, Tanev)+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Archibald, Bear, Jones, Kahun, Haas · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk

  39. P2 12:38Shot by Stone, saved by Smith
  40. P2 13:33Yamamoto: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Barrie, Nurse, Kahun, Haas · CGY Giordano, Stone, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk

  41. P2 14:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Smith4v5
  42. P2 14:50Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Smith4v5
  43. P2 15:00Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith4v5
  44. P2 16:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Smith
  45. P2 17:08Shot by Ritchie, saved by Smith
  46. P2 18:59Shot by Dube, saved by Smith
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:09Shot by Kulikov, saved by Markstrom
  50. P3 2:07Shot by Välimäki, saved by Smith
  51. P3 2:49Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith
  52. P3 3:22Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Markstrom
  53. P3 5:18Shot by Barrie, saved by Markstrom
  54. P3 5:53Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Smith
  55. P3 6:28Shot by Bear, saved by Markstrom
  56. P3 6:53Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith
  57. P3 7:09Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith
  58. P3 8:26Tkachuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Barrie, Archibald, Nurse, Kahun, Haas · CGY Stone, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk, Välimäki

  59. P3 8:26Barrie: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Barrie, Archibald, Nurse, Kahun, Haas · CGY Stone, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk, Välimäki

  60. P3 9:08Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Smith4v4
  61. P3 10:38Shot by Giordano, saved by Smith
  62. P3 12:09Shot by Backlund, saved by Smith
  63. P3 12:49Shot by Bear, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 13:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Markstrom
  65. P3 13:39Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Markstrom
  66. P3 13:40Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 13:41Nugent-Hopkins: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kulikov, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Puljujarvi, McLeod · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk

  68. P3 13:41Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: EDM Kulikov, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Puljujarvi, McLeod · CGY Giordano, Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk

  69. P3 14:35Shot by Nesterov, saved by Smith4v4
  70. P3 15:44Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Smith
  71. P3 18:14Shot by Andersson, saved by Smith5v6
  72. P3 18:54Goal by Archibald (Draisaitl, McDavid)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Archibald, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear · CGY Giordano, Backlund, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Tkachuk

  73. P3 19:34Goal by Nurse (Archibald, Draisaitl)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Archibald, Larsson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · CGY Stone, Gaudreau, Monahan, Mangiapane, Dube, Välimäki

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final