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Ice Lab

Sun, May 2, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Goal by Coleman (Goodrow)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Vrana, Cholowski, Hronek, Rasmussen · TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev

  3. P1 0:29Shot by Colton, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 0:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 0:41Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 1:56Shot by Biega, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 2:21Shot by Zadina, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 2:44Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 3:18Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 3:51Shot by Gagner, saved by Gibson
  11. P1 4:51Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 4:54Shot by Joseph, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 6:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 7:11Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 8:27Shot by Hronek, saved by Gibson
  16. P1 10:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 11:12Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 12:39Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 13:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 13:28Shot by Filppula, saved by Gibson
  21. P1 13:56Shot by Point, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 14:09Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 15:35Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 15:41Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 17:48Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 19:34Shot by Glendening, saved by Gibson
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 1:04Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 1:09Goal by Sergachev (Gourde, Coleman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Staal, Vrana, Stecher, Rasmussen · TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev

  32. P2 1:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 2:45Shot by Gagner, saved by Gibson
  34. P2 3:41Shot by Panik, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 3:42Schenn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Panik, Cholowski, Hronek, Rasmussen · TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev

  36. P2 5:26Shot by Coleman, saved by Bernier5v4
  37. P2 5:45Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 6:38Shot by Schenn, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 7:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 7:47Shot by Gagner, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 8:49Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 8:56Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 9:07Veleno: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vrana, Cholowski, Hronek, Veleno, Zadina · TBL McDonagh, Savard, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde

  44. P2 9:31Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 10:57Shot by Colton, saved by Bernier4v5
  46. P2 11:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 12:18Shot by Savard, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 13:28Shot by Joseph, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 13:37Goal by Zadina (Namestnikov, Erne)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Zadina · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Sergachev, Colton

  50. P2 14:07Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 14:51Shot by Staal, saved by Gibson
  52. P2 15:33Shot by Erne, saved by Gibson
  53. P2 16:57Shot by Biega, saved by Gibson
  54. P2 19:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 19:39Shot by Zadina, saved by Gibson
  56. P2 19:59Shot by Zadina, saved by Gibson
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 2:08Shot by Vrana, saved by Gibson
  60. P3 6:28Shot by Panik, saved by Gibson
  61. P3 8:20Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier5v6
  62. P3 8:26Shot by Savard, saved by Bernier5v6
  63. P3 8:51Cholowski: Holding the stick (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Erne, Lindstrom · TBL Killorn, Maroon, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli

  64. P3 11:30Shot by Goodrow, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 11:53Shot by Savard, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 12:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 12:16Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Panik, Glendening, Cholowski, Hronek · TBL Johnson, Palat, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  68. P3 12:48Shot by Vrana, saved by Gibson5v4
  69. P3 13:05Shot by Veleno, saved by Gibson5v4
  70. P3 13:18Shot by Hronek, saved by Gibson5v4
  71. P3 13:46Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Gibson5v4
  72. P3 14:06Killorn: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Erne, Cholowski, Rasmussen, Zadina · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Savard, Cirelli

  73. P3 14:06Goodrow: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v3

    On ice: DET Filppula, Erne, Cholowski, Rasmussen, Zadina · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Savard, Cirelli

  74. P3 15:08Shot by Vrana, saved by Gibson5v3
  75. P3 17:36Shot by Goodrow, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 19:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Gibson6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  78. P3 0:00Final