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Ice Lab

Sun, May 2, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Ryan McDonaghD · #270000223:490.1179.6%0.0
Victor HedmanD · #770000123:090.0145.6%0.0
Erik CernakD · #810000122:540.0452.9%0.0
David SavardD · #580000319:590.2869.5%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #710000118:540.0757.4%0.0
Alex KillornLW · #170000318:280.4754.3%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #180000218:200.1354.1%0.0
Brayden PointC · #210000117:520.0142.6%0.0
Mikhail SergachevD · #98101+1217:230.0781.4%+15.3
Barclay GoodrowC · #19011+2215:410.2893.9%+15.7
Blake ColemanLW · #20112+2715:040.7693.9%+31.0
Yanni GourdeC · #37011+2214:260.2593.7%+15.3
Alex Barré-BouletC · #600000214:030.4261.0%0.0
Tyler JohnsonC · #90000313:410.2461.2%0.0
Patrick MaroonLW · #14000−1312:100.5788.4%0.0
Ross ColtonC · #79000−1210:030.2288.4%0.0
Luke SchennD · #2000+138:580.0482.6%0.0
Mathieu JosephRW · #7000−128:410.3088.8%0.0
Christopher Gibson#33W23221.9571.99+1.058:35

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Filip HronekD · #170000221:150.2635.9%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #240000219:010.1623.3%0.0
Danny DeKeyserD · #65000+1018:430.0013.0%0.0
Filip ZadinaRW · #11101+1418:400.3632.4%+15.9
Marc StaalD · #18000−1118:360.0546.1%0.0
Sam GagnerC · #890000418:280.1134.2%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #900000118:080.1813.6%0.0
Adam ErneLW · #73011+1117:460.0638.8%+15.9
Dennis CholowskiD · #21000−1017:320.0023.0%0.0
Valtteri FilppulaC · #51000−2117:210.009.8%0.0
Jakub VranaLW · #15000−2316:350.2218.1%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #92011+1016:270.0034.7%+15.9
Michael RasmussenC · #27000−2115:520.179.2%0.0
Darren HelmC · #430000014:290.0039.2%0.0
Gustav LindstromD · #280000013:440.0019.9%0.0
Troy StecherD · #70000−1012:180.0132.6%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #410000111:410.3553.6%0.0
Alex BiegaD · #30000210:490.046.5%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45L42402.9524.27+2.358:35