Mon, May 3, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 114 | 27 | 05 | 326 |
| ARI | 16 | 113 | 015 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:10ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Lawson Crouse, Christian Fischer · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 17:45LAKTrevor MooreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 0:53ARIJakob ChychrunPPAssists: Conor Garland, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 7:40LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Adrian Kempe, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 13:40LAKAlex IafalloPPGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.33 xG3–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 19:26LAKTobias Bjornfot: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 2:49LAKAndreas Athanasiou: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:38ARIJohan Larsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 4:18ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Kempe11:51
xG 0.78–0.45 (64%)attempts 15–10goals 1–1
- Vilardi – Andersson – Iafallo11:16
xG 0.28–0.23 (54%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan8:05
xG 0.06–0.15 (28%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Moore – Byfield8:40
xG 0.35–0.50 (41%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Walker12:55
xG 0.42–0.21 (66%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:50
xG 0.64–0.54 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Doughty – Bjornfot2:08
xG 0.03–0.01 (76%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBrassard – Bunting – Keller11:44
xG 0.57–0.07 (89%)attempts 21–2goals 0–0
- Kessel – Larsson – Garland12:03
xG 0.41–0.33 (56%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Dvorak – Fischer – Crouse9:36
xG 0.15–0.42 (26%)attempts 2–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Demers8:18
xG 0.12–0.06 (68%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun16:45
xG 0.70–0.66 (52%)attempts 14–14goals 1–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin14:02
xG 0.41–0.41 (50%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).