Thu, May 6, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 8
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
9%
27%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.07 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.02 | 31.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.41 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.12 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.12 | 25.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.30 | 23.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.32 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.08 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.05 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 42.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 58.4% | +16.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.20 | 66.7% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.22 | 17.4% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.35 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 26 | 8 | .765 | 3.21 | −4.8 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:46 | 0.26 | 70.8% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:48 | 0.04 | 74.6% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.02 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.01 | 66.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.10 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.28 | 56.2% | +20.6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 5 | 17:16 | 0.63 | 86.2% | +57.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.20 | 56.2% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.41 | 61.2% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.19 | 61.2% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.13 | 56.8% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.39 | 86.2% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.02 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 87.6% | +51.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.38 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.03 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.13 | 77.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.35 | −1.6 | 60:00 |