Sat, May 8, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
29%
10%
11%
50%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:18 | 0.08 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.07 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.17 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.10 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.19 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.04 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.06 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.36 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.10 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.05 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.07 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.28 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.11 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.12 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:36 | 0.33 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.69 | +0.7 | 58:02 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:59 | 0.06 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.07 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:36 | 0.27 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.13 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.06 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.03 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.05 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.24 | 59.9% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.05 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.29 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.18 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.10 | 61.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.09 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 29 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.17 | +2.2 | 60:00 |