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Ice Lab

Sat, May 8, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by McCann, saved by Houser
  3. P1 5:34Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Lagace
  4. P1 6:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Lagace
  5. P1 6:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lagace
  6. P1 8:43Samuelsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Ceci, Ruhwedel, Kapanen · BUF Ristolainen, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson

  7. P1 10:25Shot by Miller, saved by Lagace5v4
  8. P1 10:43Shot by McCann, saved by Houser5v4
  9. P1 12:47Shot by Guentzel, saved by Houser
  10. P1 13:43Shot by Miller, saved by Lagace
  11. P1 13:53Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lagace
  12. P1 14:02Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lagace
  13. P1 14:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Lagace
  14. P1 14:33Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Lagace
  15. P1 16:05Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lagace
  16. P1 17:25Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lagace
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:20Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Houser
  20. P2 1:58Goal by Carter (Gaudreau)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Gaudreau, McCann, Pettersson, Marino · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Bjork, Caggiula, Jokiharju

  21. P2 3:46Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Houser
  22. P2 3:49Shot by Blueger, saved by Houser
  23. P2 6:03Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Houser
  24. P2 6:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Lagace
  25. P2 10:04Shot by Bjork, saved by Lagace5v6
  26. P2 10:16Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lagace5v6
  27. P2 10:17McCann: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, Gaudreau, McCann · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Bjork, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson

  28. P2 11:14Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lagace4v5
  29. P2 11:16Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lagace4v5
  30. P2 12:48Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Lagace
  31. P2 13:22Shot by Miller, saved by Lagace
  32. P2 14:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lagace
  33. P2 15:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Houser
  34. P2 16:05Shot by Caggiula, saved by Lagace
  35. P2 16:38Shot by Asplund, saved by Lagace
  36. P2 17:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Lagace
  37. P2 17:27Shot by Thompson, saved by Lagace
  38. P2 19:07Shot by Caggiula, saved by Lagace
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Houser
  42. P3 0:52Shot by Ceci, saved by Houser
  43. P3 1:33Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lagace
  44. P3 3:41Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Houser
  45. P3 4:26Shot by Marino, saved by Houser
  46. P3 4:55Shot by Carter, saved by Houser
  47. P3 6:56Shot by Ceci, saved by Houser
  48. P3 7:25Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lagace
  49. P3 8:26Shot by Asplund, saved by Lagace
  50. P3 9:43Shot by Pettersson, saved by Houser
  51. P3 10:04Shot by Bjork, saved by Lagace
  52. P3 10:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lagace
  53. P3 12:38Shot by Letang, saved by Houser
  54. P3 12:44Shot by Letang, saved by Houser
  55. P3 12:52Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Houser
  56. P3 14:19Shot by McCann, saved by Houser
  57. P3 14:27Shot by Marino, saved by Houser
  58. P3 15:22Ristolainen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · BUF Ristolainen, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson

  59. P3 17:04Shot by Carter, saved by Houser5v4
  60. P3 17:22Shot by Zucker, saved by Houser5v4
  61. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  62. P3 0:00Final