Mon, May 10, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Dallas Stars 5, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 114 | 116 | 217 | 13 | 550 |
| CHI | 25 | 15 | 18 | 05 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:53CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Pius Suter · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 1:22CHIPius SuterAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 15:30DALJoe PavelskiAssists: John Klingberg, Joel Hanley · Tip-in, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 16:28CHIDylan StromeAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza, Dominik Kubalik · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–3
- P2 19:58DALMiro HeiskanenPPAssists: John Klingberg, Jamie Benn · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 8:18CHIVinnie HinostrozaAssists: David Kampf, Mike Hardman · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 10:24DALJoel KivirantaAssists: Denis Gurianov, Miro Heiskanen · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–4
- P3 12:18DALJason DickinsonAssists: Jason Robertson · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–4
- OT 4:30DALJason RobertsonGWGAssists: Jamie Benn, John Klingberg · Backhand, 0.27 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P2 4:47DALRadek Faksa: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:54CHIVinnie Hinostroza: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:31CHIWyatt Kalynuk: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 4:55DALJustin Dowling: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:52CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:39DALRadek Faksa: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Benn won the faceoff against Kurashev
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestComeau – Cogliano – Benn8:53
xG 1.00–0.03 (97%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Dickinson – Robertson12:07
xG 0.75–0.23 (76%)attempts 17–6goals 2–2
- Faksa – Gurianov – Kiviranta7:27
xG 0.35–0.19 (64%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Oleksiak13:55
xG 1.40–0.22 (86%)attempts 21–7goals 1–0
- Sekera – Hanley6:17
xG 0.22–0.11 (66%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Lindell – Heiskanen15:12
xG 0.50–0.45 (53%)attempts 14–10goals 1–2
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Kane – DeBrincat – Suter2:35
xG 0.10–0.05 (65%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Suter2:21
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 3–2goals 1–1
- Kane – Strome – Suter2:08
xG 0.08–0.18 (32%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Kampf4:03
xG 0.08–0.25 (24%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Zadorov2:19
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Murphy – Kalynuk2:13
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Stillman – Mitchell2:02
xG 0.01–0.07 (11%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).