Sat, May 8, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 5, San Jose Sharks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 28 | 117 | 14 | 13 | 532 |
| SJS | 219 | 114 | 114 | 01 | 448 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:32ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Phil Kessel, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 6:44SJSRudolfs BalcersAssists: Sasha Chmelevski, Dylan Gambrell · Slap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 11:36ARIChristian DvorakPPAssists: Christian Fischer, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P1 15:28SJSKevin LabancUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 5:26SJSTimo MeierAssists: Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–3
- P2 6:20ARIJan JenikAssists: Christian Fischer, Victor Soderstrom · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 16:07ARIConor GarlandAssists: Alex Goligoski, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.27 xG4–3
- P3 19:11SJSAlexander BarabanovAssists: Tomas Hertl, Evander Kane · Wrist, 0.30 xG4–4
- OT 2:30ARIPhil KesselGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:59ARIJakob Chychrun: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:59SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:29SJSJeffrey Viel: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P1 15:37SJSSasha Chmelevski: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:07ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 7:25ARIIlya Lyubushkin: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestFasching – Hunt – Pederson4:04
xG 1.15–0.10 (92%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Brassard – Fasching – Hunt2:46
xG 0.07–0.16 (30%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Brassard – Bunting – Garland9:35
xG 0.48–0.75 (39%)attempts 5–13goals 1–2
- Bunting – Garland – Pederson2:30
xG 0.21–0.66 (24%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNess – Lyubushkin10:22
xG 1.52–0.38 (80%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun12:49
xG 0.62–1.08 (37%)attempts 7–19goals 1–3
- Ekman-Larsson – Soderstrom12:12
xG 0.30–1.25 (19%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Hertl – Barabanov9:54
xG 1.35–0.50 (73%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Balcers – Gambrell – Chmelevski9:09
xG 0.43–0.15 (74%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Balcers – Gregor – Gambrell2:16
xG 0.12–0.12 (48%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Marleau – Labanc – Meier9:54
xG 0.45–0.76 (37%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro14:01
xG 1.97–0.63 (76%)attempts 22–12goals 1–0
- Ferraro – Knyzhov3:49
xG 0.24–0.13 (66%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Pasichnuk11:31
xG 0.32–0.54 (37%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).