Thu, Oct 14, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Arizona Coyotes 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 011 | 113 | 114 | 238 |
| CBJ | 210 | 39 | 37 | 826 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:40CBJAlexandre TexierAssists: Max Domi, Vladislav Gavrikov · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 14:05CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Jakub Voracek · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 0:35CBJBoone JennerGWGAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–3
- P2 1:03ARIAnton StralmanAssists: Lawson Crouse, Johan Larsson · Slap, 0.02 xG1–3
- P2 11:10CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Jack Roslovic, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
- P2 14:16CBJJake BeanAssists: Jakub Voracek, Patrik Laine · Slap, 0.06 xG1–5
- P3 4:33CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Patrik Laine, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Snap, 0.07 xG1–6
- P3 8:48CBJMax DomiAssists: Cole Sillinger, Andrew Peeke · Snap, 0.11 xG1–7
- P3 16:46ARIClayton KellerPPAssists: Phil Kessel, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.09 xG2–7
- P3 18:36CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–8
Penalties (15)
- P1 3:42ARIClayton Keller: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:53CBJJakub Voracek: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:27ARIChristian Fischer: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 18:57CBJJakub Voracek: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:57ARIRyan Dzingel: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:50ARIRyan Dzingel: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:50CBJSean Kuraly: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:23CBJZach Werenski: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:54CBJEric Robinson: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:54ARILawson Crouse: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:01ARILawson Crouse: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:25CBJGregory Hofmann: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:08CBJCole Sillinger: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 18:46CBJAndrew Peeke: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:46ARILawson Crouse: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBeagle – Roussel – Jaskin4:39
xG 0.66–0.23 (74%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Ladd – Jaskin – Fischer3:47
xG 0.27–0.03 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Beagle – Roussel – Dzingel2:45
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Larsson – Dzingel6:21
xG 0.29–0.10 (75%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Timmins17:00
xG 1.46–0.61 (71%)attempts 28–13goals 0–2
- Lyubushkin – Soderstrom12:57
xG 0.45–0.12 (78%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Stralman – Gostisbehere12:23
xG 0.72–0.68 (52%)attempts 16–14goals 1–3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic8:18
xG 0.20–0.33 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 2–0
- Hofmann – Kuraly – Robinson11:16
xG 0.19–0.38 (33%)attempts 4–19goals 0–0
- Jenner – Domi – Sillinger9:21
xG 0.58–0.86 (40%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Voracek – Laine – Texier9:22
xG 0.23–0.51 (31%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Boqvist12:11
xG 0.74–1.03 (42%)attempts 11–19goals 2–1
- Kukan – Peeke13:35
xG 0.30–0.68 (31%)attempts 8–18goals 1–0
- Werenski – Bean13:30
xG 0.17–0.88 (16%)attempts 9–20goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).