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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 16, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vancouver Canucks 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Vancouver Canucks

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Hronek, saved by Halak
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Hughes, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 1:48Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Halak
  5. P1 4:14Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 4:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 6:05Shot by Pettersson, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Dowling, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 8:24Shot by Highmore, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 11:05Goal by Fabbri (Staal, Lindstrom)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Lindstrom, Raymond · VAN Chiasson, Burroughs, Highmore, Pettersson, Hughes

  11. P1 12:34Shot by Pearson, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 14:14Shot by Fabbri, saved by Halak
  13. P1 16:28Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 17:41Shot by Fabbri, saved by Halak
  15. P1 19:41Leddy: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Namestnikov, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hoglander

  16. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:35Shot by Miller, saved by Greiss4v5
  19. P2 0:36Shot by Miller, saved by Greiss4v5
  20. P2 1:21Shot by Horvat, saved by Greiss4v5
  21. P2 2:20Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  22. P2 3:40Shot by Dowling, saved by Greiss
  23. P2 3:51Shot by Rowney, saved by Halak
  24. P2 4:56Goal by Garland (Horvat, Pearson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Namestnikov, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Pearson, Poolman, Horvat, Garland, Hughes

  25. P2 5:55Dickinson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Hronek, Rasmussen, Raymond · VAN Pearson, Poolman, Dickinson, Garland, Hughes

  26. P2 6:42Goal by Zadina (Seider, Hronek)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina, Seider · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Highmore

  27. P2 7:25Shot by Suter, saved by Halak
  28. P2 9:15Shot by Hoglander, saved by Greiss
  29. P2 9:49Shot by Suter, saved by Halak
  30. P2 10:15Shot by Erne, saved by Halak
  31. P2 10:16Shot by Suter, saved by Halak
  32. P2 11:35Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Rowney, Stephens, Smith, Lindstrom · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland

  33. P2 11:35Garland: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Leddy, Rowney, Stephens, Smith, Lindstrom · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland

  34. P2 13:08Shot by Burroughs, saved by Greiss4v4
  35. P2 13:37Shot by Rathbone, saved by Greiss
  36. P2 13:55Shot by Leddy, saved by Halak
  37. P2 17:11Shot by Hoglander, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 17:57Shot by Fabbri, saved by Halak
  39. P2 18:16Shot by Seider, saved by Halak
  40. P2 18:20Hughes: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Suter, Zadina, Seider · VAN Poolman, Horvat, Garland, Hughes, Hoglander

  41. P2 19:07Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Halak5v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:39Shot by Horvat, saved by Greiss
  45. P3 1:54Shot by Burroughs, saved by Greiss
  46. P3 2:12Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Namestnikov, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Suter · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Dowling, Pearson, Garland, Hoglander

  47. P3 2:21Shot by Stephens, saved by Halak4v5
  48. P3 2:48Shot by Pearson, saved by Greiss4v5
  49. P3 4:18Shot by Highmore, saved by Greiss
  50. P3 5:25Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Halak
  51. P3 5:51Shot by Hoglander, saved by Greiss
  52. P3 5:52Bertuzzi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Pettersson, Hoglander

  53. P3 5:52Ekman-Larsson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Pettersson, Hoglander

  54. P3 6:40Shot by Poolman, saved by Greiss4v4
  55. P3 6:43Shot by Poolman, saved by Greiss4v4
  56. P3 6:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Greiss4v4
  57. P3 8:30Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Halak
  58. P3 8:32Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Halak
  59. P3 9:01Shot by Hughes, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 9:22Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 10:47Shot by Rathbone, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 11:05Garland: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland, Rathbone

  63. P3 11:05Horvat: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland, Rathbone

  64. P3 11:05Rasmussen: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland, Rathbone

  65. P3 11:05Hronek: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Pearson, Horvat, Garland, Rathbone

  66. P3 11:44Shot by Pearson, saved by Greiss
  67. P3 11:52Shot by Dickinson, saved by Greiss
  68. P3 12:29Shot by Rathbone, saved by Greiss
  69. P3 12:44Shot by Hoglander, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 13:40Shot by Hughes, saved by Greiss
  71. P3 13:58Raymond: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Hronek, Raymond · VAN Pearson, Poolman, Horvat, Garland, Rathbone

  72. P3 14:35Shot by Hughes, saved by Greiss4v5
  73. P3 16:17Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Halak
  74. P3 18:03Shot by Horvat, saved by Greiss5v6
  75. P3 19:02Goal by Gagner (Bertuzzi)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Rasmussen · VAN Chiasson, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes

  76. P3 19:26Shot by Pearson, saved by Greiss5v6
  77. P3 19:27Shot by Highmore, saved by Greiss5v6
  78. P3 19:39Shot by Hughes, saved by Greiss5v6
  79. P3 19:48Shot by Horvat, saved by Greiss5v6
  80. P3 19:51Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss5v6
  81. P3 19:57Chiasson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen · VAN Chiasson, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes

  82. P3 19:57Hronek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen · VAN Chiasson, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes

  83. P3 19:57Chiasson: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen · VAN Chiasson, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes

  84. P3 19:57Hronek: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen · VAN Chiasson, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final