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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 19, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington

Colorado Avalanche 3, Washington Capitals 6

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 80% of the time.

WSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Dowd, saved by Kuemper
  3. P1 0:47Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:39Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kuemper
  5. P1 2:19Shot by Helm, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 4:04Shot by Sheary, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 4:46Shot by Jensen, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 5:23Shot by Mantha, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 5:26Shot by Mantha, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 6:15Goal by Kuznetsov (Carlson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · COL Murray, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  11. P1 7:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Kuemper
  12. P1 8:56Shot by Murray, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 9:09Kadri: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong · COL Kadri, Murray, Maltsev, Makar, Kaut

  14. P1 9:09Mantha: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong · COL Kadri, Murray, Maltsev, Makar, Kaut

  15. P1 10:22Shot by Wilson, saved by Kuemper4v4
  16. P1 12:23Shot by McMichael, saved by Kuemper
  17. P1 12:25Shot by McMichael, saved by Kuemper
  18. P1 12:31Shot by Oshie, saved by Kuemper
  19. P1 12:39Girard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Carlson, Sheary, Fehérváry, McMichael · COL Johnson, Compher, Girard, Maltsev, Kaut

  20. P1 12:54Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kuemper5v4
  21. P1 13:46Goal by Compher, unassisted5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Mantha · COL Helm, Murray, MacDermid, Compher

  22. P1 14:42Shot by Sprong, saved by Kuemper
  23. P1 14:46Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper
  24. P1 14:59Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper
  25. P1 16:12Shot by Oshie, saved by Kuemper
  26. P1 16:53Goal by Jensen (Orlov, Wilson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson · COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Makar

  27. P1 18:06Shot by Ranta, saved by Samsonov
  28. P1 18:13Orlov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway · COL Johnson, Kadri, Murray, Compher, Ranta

  29. P1 19:06Shot by Dowd, saved by Kuemper4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 1:46Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Kuemper
  34. P2 3:12Goal by Helm (O'Connor, Byram)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong · COL Helm, Johnson, Jost, O'Connor, Byram

  35. P2 4:35Shot by Kadri, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 5:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 6:23Sheary: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Jensen, Sheary, Fehérváry, McMichael · COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram

  38. P2 7:08Shot by Jost, saved by Samsonov4v5
  39. P2 7:50Shot by Girard, saved by Samsonov4v5
  40. P2 8:19Shot by Maltsev, saved by Samsonov4v5
  41. P2 9:13Shot by Jost, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 9:58Shot by Hathaway, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 10:13Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  44. P2 10:43Shot by Oshie, saved by Kuemper
  45. P2 14:47Goal by Mantha (Eller)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong · COL Kadri, Murray, MacDermid, Burakovsky, Maltsev

  46. P2 16:32Shot by Orlov, saved by Kuemper
  47. P2 16:41Goal by Kuznetsov (Wilson, Orlov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, Makar

  48. P2 18:32Shot by Sprong, saved by Kuemper
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:17Shot by Hathaway, saved by Kuemper
  52. P3 0:39Goal by Dowd (Jensen, Hagelin)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, Makar

  53. P3 0:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 0:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 2:42Shot by Sheary, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 4:47Wilson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Schultz, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk · COL Maltsev, Makar, Kaut, Ranta, Byram

  57. P3 5:28Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Jensen, Dowd, van Riemsdyk · COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Girard, Maltsev, Kaut

  58. P3 6:14Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov4v4
  59. P3 7:01Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper5v4
  60. P3 7:20Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kuemper5v4
  61. P3 7:38Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 7:42Shot by Mantha, saved by Kuemper
  63. P3 8:01Shot by Mantha, saved by Kuemper
  64. P3 9:17Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 9:48Shot by Sheary, saved by Kuemper
  66. P3 10:16Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 11:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 12:04Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 12:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov
  70. P3 12:40MacKinnon: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway · COL Kadri, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram

  71. P3 13:26Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Kuemper5v4
  72. P3 14:22Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  73. P3 15:38Hathaway: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Hathaway, Fehérváry · COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  74. P3 15:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Samsonov4v6
  75. P3 15:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Samsonov4v6
  76. P3 16:09Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov4v6
  77. P3 16:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov4v6
  78. P3 16:54Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Compher)4v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd · COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  79. P3 17:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Kuemper
  80. P3 17:39Goal by Ovechkin (Wilson, Kuznetsov)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  81. P3 19:57Shot by Ranta, saved by Samsonov
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final