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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 21, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

New York Rangers 3, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Trenin, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 2:12Goal by Chytil (Blais, Lafrenière)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Jeannot · NYR Nemeth, Blais, Chytil, Lundkvist, Lafrenière

  4. P1 3:44Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros
  5. P1 5:02Shot by Lindgren, saved by Saros
  6. P1 6:24Blais: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Novak, Carrier, Tolvanen, Tomasino · NYR Reaves, McKegg, Trouba, Barron, Miller

  7. P1 6:32Shot by Johansen, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  8. P1 7:07Shot by Granlund, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  9. P1 8:01Shot by Kreider, saved by Saros5v4
  10. P1 8:28Shot by Trenin, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 8:33Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 8:38Shot by Trenin, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 8:40Shot by Fabbro, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 11:07Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros
  15. P1 11:50Shot by Fox, saved by Saros
  16. P1 12:18Shot by Chytil, saved by Saros
  17. P1 12:24Shot by Blais, saved by Saros
  18. P1 12:31Shot by Cousins, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 14:14Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 15:14Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 15:15Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P1 18:17Shot by Cousins, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P1 19:07Ekholm: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier · NYR Zibanejad, Goodrow, Hunt, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren

  24. P1 19:12Shot by Fox, saved by Saros4v5
  25. P1 19:55Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:30Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Saros4v5
  29. P2 0:42Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Saros4v5
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros4v6
  31. P2 1:14Jeannot: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, Kunin · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Chytil, Lafrenière

  32. P2 1:52Benning: Elbowing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, Kunin · NYR Trouba, Blais, Hunt, Chytil, Lundkvist

  33. P2 1:52Hunt: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, Kunin · NYR Trouba, Blais, Hunt, Chytil, Lundkvist

  34. P2 1:52Benning: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, Kunin · NYR Trouba, Blais, Hunt, Chytil, Lundkvist

  35. P2 2:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros3v5
  36. P2 3:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Saros4v5
  37. P2 4:28Shot by Chytil, saved by Saros
  38. P2 4:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 5:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 6:00Shot by Carrier, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 7:00Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 7:01Goal by Tomasino (Johansen, Fabbro)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Fabbro, Tolvanen, Tomasino · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Fox, Lindgren

  43. P2 7:39Shot by Kreider, saved by Saros
  44. P2 7:52Shot by Blais, saved by Saros
  45. P2 11:05Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 11:52Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 12:35Shot by Duchene, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 13:05Shot by Kunin, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 13:28Shot by Rooney, saved by Saros
  50. P2 13:53Jeannot: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Jeannot · NYR Nemeth, Goodrow, Hunt, Rooney, Lundkvist

  51. P2 14:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros4v5
  52. P2 16:18Shot by Blais, saved by Saros
  53. P2 16:44Blais: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Fabbro · NYR Trouba, Blais, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière

  54. P2 17:20Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  55. P2 18:14Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  56. P2 19:38Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros
  57. P2 19:59Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:01Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 1:38Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros
  62. P3 1:50Shot by Hunt, saved by Saros
  63. P3 1:50Goodrow: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tolvanen · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Hunt, Rooney, Miller

  64. P3 2:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  65. P3 10:43Shot by Chytil, saved by Saros
  66. P3 10:53Goal by Lafrenière (Blais, Fox)+35 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Novak, Carrier, Tolvanen, Tomasino · NYR Blais, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Lafrenière

  67. P3 12:38Shot by Blais, saved by Saros
  68. P3 14:08Shot by Goodrow, saved by Saros
  69. P3 14:30Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros
  70. P3 15:46Shot by Ekholm, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 16:49Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 17:33Shot by Ekholm, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 19:54Goal by Goodrow, unassisted6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg · NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final