Fri, Oct 22, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
San Jose Sharks 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
42%
8%
43%
TOR winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:27 | 0.19 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.24 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.18 | 50.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.14 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.06 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 26.8% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.06 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 17:04 | 1.25 | 67.4% | +37.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.34 | 69.2% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.01 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.05 | 26.0% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.04 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 12:27 | 0.76 | 71.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:46 | 0.23 | 52.3% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.12 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.24 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.88 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.03 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.16 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.31 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.01 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.20 | 56.7% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.08 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 50.4% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.04 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.86 | 77.9% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.03 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.13 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.37 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:36 | 0.24 | 44.2% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.06 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:22 | 0.56 | 56.6% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.42 | 53.0% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.06 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:33 | 0.33 | 54.7% | +18.3 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.18 | −0.8 | 58:43 |