Tue, Nov 2, 2021·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Arizona Coyotes 0, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 013 | 09 | 07 | 029 |
| PHI | 013 | 010 | 311 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 6:54PHISean CouturierGWGAssists: Travis Konecny, Claude Giroux · Snap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P3 17:51PHIScott LaughtonAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Justin Braun · Snap, 0.20 xG0–2
- P3 18:23PHIClaude GirouxENAssists: Sean Couturier, Travis Sanheim · Wrist, 0.78 xG0–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 14:28ARIVictor Soderstrom: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:59ARIPhil Kessel: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 8:39ARIShayne Gostisbehere: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laughton won the faceoff against Larsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrouse – Keller – Hayton12:00
xG 0.75–0.49 (60%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Kessel – Larsson – Jaskin12:36
xG 0.74–0.65 (53%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Ladd – Beagle11:22
xG 0.45–0.44 (50%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Roussel – O'Brien – Fischer5:21
xG 0.01–0.23 (5%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Gostisbehere16:04
xG 0.82–0.51 (62%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Mayo – Chychrun17:53
xG 0.60–0.61 (49%)attempts 16–17goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Soderstrom3:12
xG 0.28–0.46 (38%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Laughton – Lindblom13:57
xG 0.73–0.54 (57%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Thompson – Aube-Kubel – MacEwen8:02
xG 0.53–0.43 (55%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Brassard – Atkinson – Farabee11:20
xG 0.30–0.29 (50%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny13:19
xG 0.30–0.65 (32%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Braun – Provorov16:20
xG 0.25–0.43 (37%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Yandle – Seeler13:09
xG 0.31–0.56 (36%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
- Ristolainen – Sanheim17:14
xG 0.86–1.18 (42%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).