Tue, Nov 2, 2021·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 28 | 011 | 00 | 225 |
| VAN | 08 | 014 | 210 | 14 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:33NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 13:13NYRArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Adam Fox, Ryan Strome · Slap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P3 1:29VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Conor Garland, Elias Pettersson · Deflected, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 5:19VANVasily PodkolzinAssists: Conor Garland, Tyler Myers · Snap, 0.11 xG2–2
- OT 2:22VANJ.T. MillerGWGAssists: Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:31VANJ.T. Miller: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:45NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
- P1 19:22NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:37VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 4:40NYRDryden Hunt: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 6:56NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:07NYRRyan Lindgren: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:09VANConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 10:28NYRAdam Fox: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 14:55VANNils Hoglander: Holding2 min
- P3 16:20VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestMcKegg – Hunt – Rooney6:42
xG 0.14–0.02 (87%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Blais – Chytil – Lafrenière10:42
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Goodrow6:44
xG 0.00–0.29 (0%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Kakko7:57
xG 0.00–0.40 (0%)attempts 1–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Nemeth – Tinordi8:24
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren13:07
xG 0.21–0.39 (35%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller11:46
xG 0.21–0.62 (25%)attempts 5–9goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPearson – Horvat – Hoglander8:52
xG 0.64–0.03 (96%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Garland – Pettersson7:13
xG 0.30–0.09 (76%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Dickinson – Boeser – Podkolzin3:21
xG 0.12–0.01 (91%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Boeser – Pettersson3:47
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPoolman – Hughes10:17
xG 1.11–0.05 (96%)attempts 16–2goals 1–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson11:47
xG 0.52–0.01 (98%)attempts 13–3goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hamonic11:34
xG 0.00–0.49 (0%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).