Fri, Nov 5, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Arizona Coyotes 1, Anaheim Ducks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 015 | 05 | 19 | 129 |
| ANA | 28 | 113 | 010 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:34ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–1
- P1 18:13ANASonny MilanoPPGWGAssists: Adam Henrique, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 9:46ANASam CarrickAssists: Derek Grant, Jamie Drysdale · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 19:52ARIShayne GostisbehereAssists: Liam O'Brien, Christian Fischer · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 16:40ARILiam O'Brien: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 6:14ARIJohan Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:20ANANicolas Deslauriers: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:23ANABo Groulx: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:51ARIJay Beagle: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:51ARIAntoine Roussel: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:51ARILiam O'Brien: Misconduct10 min
- P3 4:51ANAJosh Manson: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:40ANAMaxime Comtois: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:40ARIJohan Larsson: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:40ARIBen McCartney: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:43ARIAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
- P3 0:00ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:00ARILiam O'Brien: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Larsson – McCartney6:35
xG 0.24–0.16 (60%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Kessel – Keller – Hayton3:26
xG 0.12–0.14 (46%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Crouse – Keller – Hayton7:37
xG 0.20–0.26 (44%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Ladd – Beagle – Jaskin5:15
xG 0.28–0.39 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Gostisbehere13:33
xG 0.60–0.51 (54%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Mayo – Chychrun14:44
xG 0.34–0.79 (30%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
- Dineen – Lyubushkin13:15
xG 0.49–1.35 (27%)attempts 12–20goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Carrick – Groulx8:23
xG 0.82–0.22 (79%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry11:14
xG 1.00–0.60 (62%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Lettieri – Comtois – Lundeström3:53
xG 0.04–0.02 (67%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Milano – Lundeström3:02
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Mahura12:38
xG 1.32–0.65 (67%)attempts 15–16goals 0–0
- Fowler – Manson13:15
xG 0.52–0.39 (57%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale14:12
xG 0.33–0.51 (39%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).