Sat, Nov 6, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
New York Rangers 0, Calgary Flames 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 08 | 08 | 022 |
| CGY | 19 | 216 | 312 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:00CGYSean MonahanPPGWGAssists: Matthew Tkachuk, Elias Lindholm · Snap, 0.19 xG0–1
- P2 9:15CGYBrad RichardsonAssists: Oliver Kylington, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–2
- P2 11:19CGYJohnny GaudreauAssists: Matthew Tkachuk, Noah Hanifin · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–3
- P3 6:42CGYJohnny GaudreauAssists: Matthew Tkachuk · Backhand, 0.22 xG0–4
- P3 13:13CGYMilan LucicAssists: Dillon Dube, Andrew Mangiapane · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–5
- P3 14:56CGYMatthew TkachukAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 13:02CGYMatthew Tkachuk: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:38NYRKevin Rooney: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 7:06NYRPatrik Nemeth: Holding2 min
- P2 12:29CGYBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:37NYRRyan Reaves: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 17:37NYRJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:37CGYErik Gudbranson: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:42CGYOliver Kylington: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Backlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Zibanejad – Blais – Lafrenière2:14
xG 0.09–0.05 (66%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Blais – Lafrenière2:19
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
- Reaves – Hunt – Rooney7:09
xG 0.19–0.32 (38%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Kakko8:27
xG 0.39–0.58 (40%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Nemeth – Tinordi12:19
xG 0.70–0.73 (49%)attempts 8–14goals 0–2
- Trouba – Miller14:11
xG 0.88–1.39 (39%)attempts 16–20goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren16:11
xG 0.26–1.26 (17%)attempts 12–16goals 0–2
Calgary Flames
Forward lines
- bestLucic – Mangiapane – Dube10:58
xG 1.67–0.36 (82%)attempts 23–6goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Lindholm – Tkachuk9:28
xG 1.04–0.43 (71%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Monahan10:54
xG 0.10–0.33 (24%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Backlund – Pitlick – Coleman10:19
xG 0.21–0.60 (26%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHanifin – Andersson14:23
xG 1.37–0.57 (71%)attempts 17–12goals 3–0
- Tanev – Kylington14:51
xG 0.92–0.29 (76%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Zadorov15:57
xG 1.15–0.61 (66%)attempts 19–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CGY − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).