Sat, Nov 6, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Seattle Kraken 4, Arizona Coyotes 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 311 | 07 | 113 | 431 |
| ARI | 18 | 18 | 36 | 522 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:15SEAJordan EberleAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 0:59SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Brandon Tanev, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 1:33ARIAntoine RousselAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P1 11:04SEANathan BastianUnassisted · Backhand, 0.21 xG3–1
- P2 3:12ARITravis BoydAssists: Christian Fischer, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 0:46ARILawson CrouseAssists: Johan Larsson, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 13:34ARIPhil KesselPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 18:42SEAMark GiordanoUnassisted · Slap, 0.03 xG4–4
- P3 18:55ARILawson CrouseGWGAssists: Johan Larsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 19:51ARIChristian Fischer: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:51SEAJamie Oleksiak: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:54ARIBen McCartney: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:25ARILawson Crouse: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:54SEANathan Bastian: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Larsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Wennberg12:59
xG 0.95–0.07 (93%)attempts 15–4goals 1–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Tanev10:18
xG 0.20–0.04 (85%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Sheahan – McCormick – Bastian7:37
xG 0.30–0.30 (49%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Donskoi – Donato – Geekie3:22
xG 0.01–0.16 (6%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGiordano – Oleksiak15:52
xG 0.91–0.30 (75%)attempts 18–14goals 2–0
- Larsson – Fleury16:57
xG 0.51–0.23 (69%)attempts 20–8goals 1–2
- Soucy – Dunn11:09
xG 0.35–0.24 (60%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Boyd – Fischer9:49
xG 0.20–0.11 (64%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Beagle – Roussel – McCartney2:05
xG 0.13–0.05 (71%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Crouse – Keller – Hayton10:09
xG 0.34–0.45 (43%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
- Kessel – Larsson – McCartney7:18
xG 0.04–0.15 (19%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Mayo15:53
xG 0.53–0.25 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 3–0
- Stralman – Dineen7:49
xG 0.36–0.33 (52%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Dineen – Lyubushkin6:17
xG 0.11–0.09 (55%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).