Tue, Nov 9, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Los Angeles Kings 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 117 | 17 | 12 | 334 |
| MTL | 113 | 05 | 113 | 04 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:03MTLBen ChiarotAssists: Artturi Lehkonen · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 4:56LAKBrendan LemieuxAssists: Tobias Bjornfot, Blake Lizotte · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 0:06LAKAlex IafalloUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 13:22MTLJake EvansAssists: Artturi Lehkonen, Brett Kulak · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- OT 3:39LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Andreas Athanasiou, Kale Clague · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:45MTLJake Evans: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:51LAKTobias Bjornfot: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 2:50MTLMichael Pezzetta: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:05MTLBen Chiarot: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:20MTLMichael Pezzetta: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:20LAKBrendan Lemieux: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 7:42MTLMichael Pezzetta: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:34LAKMikey Anderson: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:48LAKPhillip Danault: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Athanasiou – Iafallo11:09
xG 0.73–0.54 (57%)attempts 11–19goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev6:51
xG 0.03–0.09 (25%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Kupari6:12
xG 0.01–0.54 (3%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Kempe11:12
xG 0.55–1.23 (31%)attempts 12–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Bjornfot16:28
xG 0.80–0.27 (75%)attempts 21–8goals 2–0
- Maatta – Clague5:35
xG 0.58–0.29 (66%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Edler – Roy8:37
xG 0.39–0.38 (51%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Toffoli – Suzuki11:17
xG 1.02–0.03 (97%)attempts 19–6goals 0–0
- Armia – Lehkonen – Evans7:13
xG 1.00–0.03 (97%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Belzile – Paquette – Pezzetta2:26
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Gallagher – Anderson – Dvorak10:46
xG 0.34–1.35 (20%)attempts 16–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Chiarot12:30
xG 1.40–1.03 (58%)attempts 20–10goals 1–0
- Wideman – Romanov10:17
xG 0.44–0.18 (72%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Savard – Kulak12:19
xG 0.78–0.54 (59%)attempts 20–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).