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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 12, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Calgary Flames 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gaudreau–Lindholm–TkachukLewis–Backlund–DubeColeman–Monahan–MangiapaneRichardson–Lucic–PitlickLucic–Monahan–MangiapaneHanifin–AnderssonTanev–KylingtonGudbranson–ZadorovTanev–Hanifin
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews1:020.00–0.001:350.18–0.102:270.14–0.232:500.04–0.052:560.00–0.312:250.04–0.002:520.17–0.08
Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner4:340.34–0.070:440.01–0.101:090.24–0.021:440.47–0.074:150.20–0.121:120.01–0.10
Spezza–Simmonds–Ritchie0:320.07–0.003:020.06–0.080:370.00–0.230:590.00–0.002:110.00–0.050:490.05–0.302:350.06–0.03
Engvall–Kase–Kampf1:150.25–0.003:120.06–0.010:480.00–0.003:070.01–0.011:340.05–0.001:020.25–0.00
Tavares–Marner–Matthews1:190.00–0.001:140.17–0.000:330.00–0.000:530.09–0.012:200.17–0.001:400.09–0.010:470.00–0.00
Kerfoot–Kase–Kampf1:060.00–0.151:030.00–0.13
Nylander–Marner–Matthews1:050.04–0.000:500.10–0.001:120.04–0.000:500.10–0.00
Kerfoot–Nylander–Kase0:520.00–0.001:050.18–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Matthews0:300.00–0.02
Muzzin–Holl4:060.05–0.211:220.17–0.005:530.18–0.212:590.06–0.074:470.01–0.336:140.26–0.025:320.22–0.15
Brodie–Rielly5:070.32–0.183:300.10–0.103:000.00–0.311:340.17–0.0010:300.56–0.363:030.11–0.351:200.00–0.030:510.00–0.02
Liljegren–Sandin1:250.00–0.025:130.82–0.370:410.14–0.052:310.00–0.011:240.00–0.005:000.23–0.333:450.25–0.090:370.23–0.00
Holl–Sandin0:510.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKase FEngvall FKampf FKerfoot FMarner FTavares FBunting FMatthews FNylander FSpezza FRitchie FSimmonds FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBrodie DSandin DLiljegren DCampbell GColeman FMonahan FMangiapane FGaudreau FTkachuk FLindholm FLewis FBacklund FDube FRichardson FLucic FPitlick FAndersson DHanifin DTanev DKylington DZadorov DGudbranson DVladar G
TORCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Auston MatthewsTOR2724:180:541:2593
Noah HanifinCGY2824:100:521:4749
Mitch MarnerTOR2324:031:031:5754
Morgan RiellyTOR3023:520:481:4563
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2922:180:461:3446
Chris TanevCGY2922:150:461:2325
William NylanderTOR2621:590:511:2563
Justin HollTOR2721:190:471:2625
Jake MuzzinTOR2821:180:461:1025
John TavaresTOR2420:570:521:3853
Oliver KylingtonCGY2719:220:431:2222
TJ BrodieTOR2618:190:421:3062
Rasmus SandinTOR2218:140:501:4021
Elias LindholmCGY2517:350:421:1677
Mikael BacklundCGY2117:230:501:5006
Johnny GaudreauCGY2117:000:491:2874
Erik GudbransonCGY2516:490:401:2415
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2216:440:461:2221
Nikita ZadorovCGY2416:170:411:1115
Sean MonahanCGY2015:370:471:2231
Blake ColemanCGY2015:220:461:1222
Matthew TkachukCGY2015:160:461:2864
Trevor LewisCGY2015:090:451:3403
Alexander KerfootTOR2014:050:421:0625
Dillon DubeCGY1913:470:441:2404
David KampfTOR2013:420:411:0614
Michael BuntingTOR1613:400:511:3031
Timothy LiljegrenTOR1813:090:441:1922
Milan LucicCGY1813:040:441:3133
Tyler PitlickCGY2112:320:361:0533
Pierre EngvallTOR1912:230:391:0811
Ondrej KaseTOR2012:160:371:0612
Nick RitchieTOR1712:000:421:1570
Brad RichardsonCGY1810:560:361:0523
Jason SpezzaTOR1510:500:431:0940
Wayne SimmondsTOR139:140:431:0130