Fri, Nov 12, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 07 | 06 | 110 | 123 |
| CHI | 05 | 115 | 19 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:26CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Riley Stillman · Slap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P3 1:41ARIAndrew LaddPPAssists: Kyle Capobianco, Lawson Crouse · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 9:26CHIDylan StromePPGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Seth Jones · Snap, 0.23 xG1–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:59ARIAndrew Ladd: Interference2 min
- P1 4:02CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:26ARIBarrett Hayton: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 17:41ARIIlya Lyubushkin: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:54CHIDylan Strome: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:54CHIDylan Strome: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:54ARIIlya Lyubushkin: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:44ARIAntoine Roussel: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:08ARIAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 18:34CHISeth Jones: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyd won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Kessel – Larsson4:13
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Kessel – Larsson – Crouse8:10
xG 0.56–0.16 (77%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Boyd – Crouse – Keller4:03
xG 0.17–0.07 (70%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Beagle – Roussel – Fischer5:03
xG 0.02–0.04 (33%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Chychrun13:17
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo13:10
xG 0.63–0.33 (66%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Capobianco – Lyubushkin8:39
xG 0.25–0.56 (31%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestCarpenter – Kurashev – Johnson5:59
xG 0.43–0.03 (94%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Strome – Borgstrom – Kurashev2:11
xG 0.23–0.02 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Johnson – Hardman2:43
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Strome – Borgstrom – Hardman2:02
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Stillman7:19
xG 0.74–0.02 (97%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- de Haan – Jones12:19
xG 0.53–0.49 (52%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- McCabe – Gustafsson2:28
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).