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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 16, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 91% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Granlund, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 4:26Shot by Trenin, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 4:45Shot by Kase, saved by Saros
  5. P1 4:46Shot by Kampf, saved by Saros
  6. P1 6:46Johansen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ritchie, Bunting, Dermott, Matthews, Sandin · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Benning, Jeannot, Tomasino

  7. P1 7:37Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Rielly)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot

  8. P1 7:44Shot by Johansen, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 8:27Shot by Engvall, saved by Saros
  10. P1 9:39Shot by Sandin, saved by Saros
  11. P1 10:24Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros
  12. P1 11:10Tomasino: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Engvall, Kase, Kampf · NSH Josi, Johansen, Myers, Jeannot, Tomasino

  13. P1 12:14Shot by Engvall, saved by Saros5v4
  14. P1 12:37Shot by Spezza, saved by Saros5v4
  15. P1 13:06Shot by Kase, saved by Saros5v4
  16. P1 13:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 14:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  18. P1 14:46McCarron: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Ritchie, Marner, Matthews · NSH Ekholm, Benning, McCarron, Novak, Tolvanen

  19. P1 14:46Ritchie: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Ritchie, Marner, Matthews · NSH Ekholm, Benning, McCarron, Novak, Tolvanen

  20. P1 15:54Shot by Trenin, saved by Campbell
  21. P1 15:59Shot by Myers, saved by Campbell
  22. P1 17:08Shot by Ekholm, saved by Campbell
  23. P1 17:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  24. P1 19:08Shot by Kase, saved by Saros
  25. P1 19:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  26. P1 19:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Campbell
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  30. P2 1:45Ritchie: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Engvall, Kase, Dermott, Kampf, Sandin · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Trenin, Myers, Olivier

  31. P2 1:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros4v5
  32. P2 2:18Shot by Johansen, saved by Campbell4v5
  33. P2 3:10Shot by Josi, saved by Campbell4v5
  34. P2 4:33Shot by Marner, saved by Saros
  35. P2 6:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  36. P2 8:16Shot by Marner, saved by Saros
  37. P2 8:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  38. P2 9:50Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 9:52Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 10:03Shot by Novak, saved by Campbell
  41. P2 10:20Shot by Kampf, saved by Saros
  42. P2 10:44Shot by Kase, saved by Saros
  43. P2 15:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  44. P2 15:39Shot by Holl, saved by Saros
  45. P2 16:11Shot by Fabbro, saved by Campbell
  46. P2 16:18Kunin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Bunting · NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro

  47. P2 16:26Shot by Jeannot, saved by Campbell5v4
  48. P2 16:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros5v4
  49. P2 19:07Shot by Kase, saved by Saros
  50. P2 19:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Campbell
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  54. P3 5:20Shot by Bunting, saved by Saros
  55. P3 5:32Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Bunting · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Tolvanen, Tomasino

  56. P3 5:32Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Bunting · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Benning, Tolvanen, Tomasino

  57. P3 5:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros4v4
  58. P3 6:47Shot by Johansen, saved by Campbell4v4
  59. P3 9:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  60. P3 10:09Shot by Josi, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 10:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 11:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  63. P3 12:11Shot by Novak, saved by Campbell
  64. P3 12:25Shot by Engvall, saved by Saros
  65. P3 13:31Tomasino: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ritchie, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Fabbro, Jeannot, Tomasino

  66. P3 15:28Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros5v4
  67. P3 16:04Goal by Kampf (Kase, Kerfoot)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, Kampf · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Kunin

  68. P3 18:51Shot by Johansen, saved by Campbell5v6
  69. P3 18:56Shot by Josi, saved by Campbell5v6
  70. P3 19:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by Campbell5v6
  71. P3 19:15Shot by Duchene, saved by Campbell5v6
  72. P3 19:37Goal by Marner (Kampf, Matthews)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews, Kampf · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Tolvanen

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final