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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 18, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Calgary Flames 5, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Tokarski
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Backlund, saved by Tokarski
  4. P1 2:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 2:54Shot by Dube, saved by Tokarski
  6. P1 3:07Shot by Pitlick, saved by Tokarski
  7. P1 4:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 5:11Shot by Lucic, saved by Tokarski
  9. P1 5:36Shot by Lucic, saved by Tokarski
  10. P1 5:47Shot by Lewis, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 7:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tokarski
  12. P1 9:09Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 9:57Shot by Lewis, saved by Tokarski
  14. P1 10:30Goal by Gaudreau (Tkachuk, Tanev)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens · CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Kylington, Tkachuk

  15. P1 11:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 12:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 12:01Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 12:31Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Markstrom
  19. P1 13:50Shot by Eakin, saved by Markstrom
  20. P1 14:31Shot by Eakin, saved by Markstrom
  21. P1 15:54Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tokarski
  22. P1 16:25Shot by Zadorov, saved by Tokarski
  23. P1 17:59Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Tokarski
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:42Goal by Mangiapane (Tanev, Kylington)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Butcher, Hagg · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Kylington

  27. P2 3:23Shot by Bjork, saved by Markstrom
  28. P2 4:44Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Tokarski
  29. P2 6:47Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Tokarski
  30. P2 7:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 8:14Shot by Thompson, saved by Markstrom
  32. P2 8:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 9:37Richardson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Miller, Girgensons, Bryson · CGY Richardson, Lewis, Lucic, Gudbranson, Zadorov

  34. P2 10:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  35. P2 10:21Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom5v4
  36. P2 11:13Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Markstrom5v4
  37. P2 11:54Caggiula: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Pysyk, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Dahlin · CGY Richardson, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Kylington

  38. P2 12:40Shot by Asplund, saved by Markstrom4v5
  39. P2 13:58Goal by Tkachuk (Gaudreau, Lindholm)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Hagg, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Andersson, Tkachuk

  40. P2 14:59Goal by Mangiapane (Backlund, Zadorov)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Butcher, Hayden, Thompson, Dahlin · CGY Backlund, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Mangiapane

  41. P2 15:01Bjork: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Miller, Hayden, Bjork, Bryson, Ruotsalainen · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  42. P2 15:35Goal by Gaudreau (Monahan, Tkachuk)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Miller, Girgensons, Bryson · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk

  43. P2 17:04Shot by Kylington, saved by Tokarski
  44. P2 17:24Coleman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Butcher, Hagg, Ruotsalainen · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin

  45. P2 19:04Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Tokarski5v4
  46. P2 19:59Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:51Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Dell
  50. P3 3:06Shot by Pysyk, saved by Markstrom
  51. P3 3:47Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Dell
  52. P3 4:06Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Dell
  53. P3 4:12Shot by Hanifin, saved by Dell
  54. P3 5:57Shot by Caggiula, saved by Markstrom
  55. P3 6:18Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Markstrom
  56. P3 6:27Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Dell
  57. P3 8:02Shot by Coleman, saved by Dell
  58. P3 8:10Shot by Lucic, saved by Dell
  59. P3 10:47Shot by Coleman, saved by Dell
  60. P3 11:10Shot by Andersson, saved by Dell
  61. P3 12:01Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dell
  62. P3 12:55Shot by Hagg, saved by Markstrom
  63. P3 13:13Shot by Hagg, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 13:18Shot by Caggiula, saved by Markstrom
  65. P3 13:25Shot by Hayden, saved by Markstrom
  66. P3 13:26Shot by Hayden, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 17:01Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 17:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Markstrom
  69. P3 17:18Shot by Asplund, saved by Markstrom
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final