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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 7, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:09Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 3:13Brown: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Zaitsev, Norris, Brannstrom, Kelly · NSH Borowiecki, Cousins, Lauzon, Kunin, Luff

  4. P1 3:53Shot by Formenton, saved by Saros4v5
  5. P1 4:27Shot by Cousins, saved by Forsberg4v5
  6. P1 5:45Lauzon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot

  7. P1 5:45Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot

  8. P1 5:55Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros
  9. P1 8:32Goal by Duchene (Granlund, Josi)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Joseph, Gaudette, Norris · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Carrier, Tolvanen

  10. P1 12:02Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Saros
  11. P1 13:16Kastelic: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Watson, Zaitsev, Kastelic, Reinhardt · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Kunin, Luff

  12. P1 13:16Kunin: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Holden, Watson, Zaitsev, Kastelic, Reinhardt · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Kunin, Luff

  13. P1 13:16Kunin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Watson, Zaitsev, Kastelic, Reinhardt · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Kunin, Luff

  14. P1 14:05Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros5v4
  15. P1 14:15Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg5v4
  16. P1 16:02Shot by Johansen, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 18:50Borowiecki: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Watson, Formenton, Norris, Brannstrom, Zub · NSH Borowiecki, Johansen, Forsberg, Lauzon, Tomasino

  18. P1 19:33Ekholm: Kneeing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Brown, White, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk · NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Jeannot

  19. P1 19:43Shot by Norris, saved by Saros5v3
  20. P1 19:55Shot by Norris, saved by Saros5v3
  21. P1 0:00Period end5v3
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:45Shot by Norris, saved by Saros5v3
  24. P2 1:24Shot by White, saved by Saros5v4
  25. P2 2:06Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Forsberg
  26. P2 2:11Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  27. P2 2:57Zub: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, White, Brannstrom, Kelly, Zub · NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Lauzon, Tolvanen

  28. P2 4:11Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg4v5
  29. P2 4:21Shot by Granlund, saved by Forsberg4v5
  30. P2 4:30Shot by Josi, saved by Forsberg4v5
  31. P2 5:07Shot by Luff, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 5:21Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 7:10Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 7:25Shot by Fabbro, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 7:44Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  36. P2 8:03Shot by Kastelic, saved by Saros
  37. P2 8:04Johansen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Watson, Kastelic, Reinhardt · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Fabbro

  38. P2 9:52Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg5v4
  39. P2 10:33Shot by Watson, saved by Saros
  40. P2 10:43Shot by Duchene, saved by Forsberg
  41. P2 11:19Shot by Kunin, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 11:20Shot by Cousins, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 11:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 12:09Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Saros
  45. P2 13:25Shot by Carrier, saved by Forsberg
  46. P2 14:35Shot by Luff, saved by Forsberg
  47. P2 14:49Shot by Watson, saved by Saros
  48. P2 15:32Goal by Joseph (Brannstrom, Kelly)+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT White, Joseph, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Carrier, Tolvanen, Tomasino

  49. P2 17:42Shot by Reinhardt, saved by Saros
  50. P2 18:03Shot by Watson, saved by Saros
  51. P2 19:52Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Forsberg
  52. P2 19:58Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:56Shot by Norris, saved by Saros
  56. P3 1:02Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Saros
  57. P3 1:46Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Forsberg
  58. P3 1:59Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Saros
  59. P3 2:56Shot by Holden, saved by Saros
  60. P3 3:53Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Forsberg
  61. P3 4:22Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 4:36Goal by Norris (Tkachuk)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Joseph, Norris, Tkachuk · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Fabbro

  63. P3 6:44Shot by Kelly, saved by Saros
  64. P3 7:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  65. P3 7:43Shot by Trenin, saved by Forsberg
  66. P3 7:48Goal by Jeannot (Josi, Fabbro)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, White, Zaitsev, Kelly · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot

  67. P3 9:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg
  68. P3 9:10Shot by Johansen, saved by Forsberg
  69. P3 10:02Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Saros
  70. P3 10:08Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  71. P3 10:13Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros
  72. P3 12:01Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  73. P3 12:23Shot by Ekholm, saved by Forsberg
  74. P3 12:31Reinhardt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Watson, Kastelic, Reinhardt · NSH Duchene, Cousins, Forsberg, Carrier, Kunin

  75. P3 12:38Goal by Johansen (Duchene, Josi)4v5+37 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Norris · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg

  76. P3 15:09Shot by Tomasino, saved by Forsberg
  77. P3 16:14Tkachuk: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Tolvanen

  78. P3 16:21Shot by Forsberg, saved by Forsberg4v5
  79. P3 16:32Shot by Brown, saved by Saros4v5
  80. P3 18:45Shot by Zub, saved by Saros6v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  82. P3 0:00Final