Thu, Nov 18, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Arizona Coyotes 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 112 | 216 | 114 | 04 | 3 | 546 |
| ARI | 19 | 211 | 18 | 01 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:59ARIRyan DzingelAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Kyle Capobianco · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 16:35CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Zach Werenski · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 16:29ARIPhil KesselUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 16:52CBJBoone JennerAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jake Bean · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–2
- P2 17:34CBJJustin DanforthAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–2
- P2 19:17ARILawson CrouseAssists: Travis Boyd, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
- P3 13:37CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–3
- P3 14:18ARIJakob ChychrunAssists: Clayton Keller, Ilya Lyubushkin · Snap, 0.07 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 2. CBJ Boone Jenner stopped
- 3. ARI Alex Galchenyuk scored
- 4. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 5. ARI Phil Kessel stopped
- 6. CBJ Jakub Voracek scored
- 7. ARI Travis Boyd stopped
- 8. CBJ Adam Boqvist stopped
- 9. ARI Barrett Hayton stopped
- 10. CBJ Zach Werenski stopped
- 11. ARI Jakob Chychrun scored
- 12. CBJ Gustav Nyquist scored
- 13. ARI Antoine Roussel stopped
- 14. CBJ Egor Chinakhov scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 3:57CBJSean Kuraly: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:34CBJSean Kuraly: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:52ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:20CBJGregory Hofmann: Interference2 min
- P2 2:20ARIBarrett Hayton: Embellishment2 min
- P2 10:00ARIBarrett Hayton: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:36ARIRyan Dzingel: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:36CBJCole Sillinger: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:18ARIPhil Kessel: Cross checking2 min
- P3 10:04CBJBoone Jenner: Holding2 min
- P3 13:30ARIClayton Keller: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Boyd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand12:45
xG 0.99–0.31 (76%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Hofmann – Roslovic – Danforth7:42
xG 0.70–0.27 (72%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson8:35
xG 0.78–0.72 (52%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
- Voracek – Chinakhov – Sillinger10:54
xG 0.29–0.56 (34%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke13:35
xG 1.06–0.41 (72%)attempts 25–5goals 1–0
- Bayreuther – Boqvist10:44
xG 0.96–0.43 (69%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Werenski – Bean17:09
xG 1.22–1.31 (48%)attempts 19–25goals 1–3
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Crouse – Keller11:42
xG 1.04–0.53 (66%)attempts 13–14goals 2–0
- Dzingel – O'Brien – Fasching7:25
xG 0.26–0.11 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Hayton8:53
xG 0.49–0.69 (41%)attempts 8–12goals 1–1
- Eriksson – Beagle – Roussel10:36
xG 0.17–1.18 (12%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Lyubushkin16:56
xG 0.90–0.23 (80%)attempts 18–15goals 2–0
- Capobianco – Dineen6:43
xG 0.58–1.11 (34%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo16:37
xG 0.50–1.21 (29%)attempts 13–23goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).