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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 20, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 5:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 5:46Goal by Guentzel (Rust, Dumoulin)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ritchie, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  5. P1 6:02Shot by Liljegren, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 6:21Shot by McGinn, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 9:15Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 10:11Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 10:31Shot by Kase, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 11:24Shot by Ritchie, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 12:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 12:22Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 15:32Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 16:45Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 17:15Goal by Carter (Zucker, Kapanen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander · PIT Carter, Zucker, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Kapanen

  16. P1 17:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 18:52Rielly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase, Kampf · PIT Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Aston-Reese

  18. P1 19:44Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:23Shot by Crosby, saved by Campbell4v5
  22. P2 0:49Shot by Letang, saved by Campbell4v5
  23. P2 4:26Shot by Sandin, saved by Jarry
  24. P2 4:52Shot by Kase, saved by Jarry
  25. P2 5:58Shot by Holl, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 7:21Shot by Simmonds, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 10:15Shot by Heinen, saved by Campbell
  28. P2 10:26Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 10:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 10:56Dumoulin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Holl, Rielly, Bunting · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Aston-Reese

  31. P2 12:18Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry5v4
  32. P2 12:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry5v4
  33. P2 14:09Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 14:10Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell
  35. P2 14:44Shot by Simmonds, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 16:13Shot by Guentzel, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 16:52Shot by Sandin, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 18:07Shot by Kapanen, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 19:18Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:02Shot by McGinn, saved by Campbell
  43. P3 1:04Shot by McGinn, saved by Campbell
  44. P3 1:34Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  45. P3 1:58Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell
  46. P3 2:29Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Campbell
  47. P3 2:36Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Campbell
  48. P3 2:46Shot by Blueger, saved by Campbell
  49. P3 3:03Shot by Engvall, saved by Jarry
  50. P3 3:16Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell
  51. P3 5:51Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Campbell
  52. P3 6:24Shot by Marino, saved by Campbell
  53. P3 7:03Shot by Kapanen, saved by Campbell
  54. P3 8:21Carter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kase, Kampf · PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Kapanen

  55. P3 12:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 14:18Shot by Simmonds, saved by Jarry
  57. P3 14:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 14:33Shot by Bunting, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 14:47Zucker: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · PIT Carter, Zucker, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino

  60. P3 14:58Aston-Reese: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · PIT Dumoulin, Marino, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese

  61. P3 16:10Shot by Rust, saved by Campbell5v3
  62. P3 16:26Shot by Carter, saved by Campbell5v3
  63. P3 16:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry5v3
  64. P3 16:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 17:00Shot by Zucker, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 17:08Shot by Bunting, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 17:18Shot by Spezza, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  69. P3 0:00Final