Sat, Nov 20, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 117 | 06 | 18 | 231 |
| EDM | 414 | 010 | 19 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:16EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Zach Hyman, Evan Bouchard · Snap, 0.29 xG0–1
- P1 11:19EDMTyson BarriePPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Slap, 0.14 xG0–2
- P1 15:16EDMKailer YamamotoSHGWGAssists: Colton Sceviour · Snap, 0.09 xG0–3
- P1 18:32EDMRyan McLeodAssists: Warren Foegele, Philip Broberg · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–4
- P1 19:40CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Kirby Dach, Seth Jones · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–4
- P3 9:00CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Kirby Dach · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 16:28EDMLeon DraisaitlSHAssists: Evan Bouchard · Snap, 0.12 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:47CHIPhilipp Kurashev: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:59CHIJonathan Toews: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:41EDMJesse Puljujarvi: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:41EDMZach Hyman: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:53CHIPhilipp Kurashev: Holding2 min
- P3 13:23CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:40EDMZach Hyman: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McDavid won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHagel – Kurashev – Dach3:10
xG 0.27–0.02 (95%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – DeBrincat3:58
xG 0.20–0.02 (90%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Kurashev – Johnson4:08
xG 0.16–0.04 (82%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Khaira – Strome – Hardman6:58
xG 0.44–0.46 (49%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Gustafsson7:57
xG 0.73–0.18 (80%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Jones – Stillman7:47
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Jones – Stillman3:14
xG 0.08–0.11 (42%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestKassian – Foegele – McLeod10:14
xG 0.53–0.13 (80%)attempts 13–8goals 1–1
- Hyman – McDavid – Puljujarvi12:28
xG 0.88–0.59 (60%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Turris – Sceviour – Benson4:14
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto12:32
xG 0.27–0.80 (25%)attempts 6–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Broberg13:38
xG 0.67–0.53 (56%)attempts 15–13goals 1–0
- Keith – Ceci3:46
xG 0.12–0.11 (53%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Keith – Bouchard15:17
xG 1.00–1.00 (50%)attempts 16–19goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).