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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 2, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:29Shot by Dobson, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 5:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 7:28Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 9:20Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 10:55Shot by Kreider, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 10:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 12:14Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 13:01Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 13:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 14:34Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 14:58Shot by Fox, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 15:02Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 15:23Shot by Parise, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 15:28Shot by Vatrano, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 18:50Goodrow: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nemeth, Goodrow, Hunt, Lindgren, Chytil · NYI Parise, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal, Wahlstrom

  19. P1 19:02Shot by McKegg, saved by Sorokin4v5
  20. P1 19:35Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  21. P1 19:37Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:49Goal by Lee (Barzal, Dobson)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McKegg, Trouba, Brodzinski, Miller · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  25. P2 2:14Shot by Fox, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 2:45Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 3:26Pelech: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Hunt, Panarin, Chytil, Miller · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech, Beauvillier

  28. P2 3:48Shot by Fox, saved by Sorokin5v4
  29. P2 6:53Shot by Kreider, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 9:00Shot by Chytil, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 9:27Shot by Pelech, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 9:33Shot by Hunt, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 9:45Shot by Parise, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 9:56Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 10:22Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 10:34Shot by Kreider, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 11:53Mayfield: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nemeth, Strome, Vatrano, Panarin, Schneider · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  38. P2 12:02Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  39. P2 12:15Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  40. P2 13:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin5v4
  41. P2 13:31Shot by Bailey, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  42. P2 13:38Goal by Kreider (Lafrenière, Trouba)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trouba, Vatrano, Chytil, Lafrenière · NYI Chara, Greene, Bailey, Nelson

  43. P2 16:47Strome: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Strome, Vatrano, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · NYI Parise, Pelech, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  44. P2 17:15Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  45. P2 18:09Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  46. P2 18:14Nelson: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  47. P2 18:56Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  48. P2 19:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 4:11Shot by McKegg, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 4:43Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 5:31Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 6:07Shot by Goodrow, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 8:50Shot by Chara, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 8:59Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 9:37Lafrenière: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Miller, Lafrenière · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  59. P3 9:44Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin4v5
  60. P3 11:38Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 13:24Shot by Dobson, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 14:17Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 14:41Shot by Kreider, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 15:15Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 15:37Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 16:08Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 16:16Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 17:16Goal by Palmieri (Pulock, Pelech)+45 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Hunt, Fox, Lindgren · NYI Martin, Palmieri, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  69. P3 19:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final