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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 28, 2021·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Minnesota Wild 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 94% of the time.

MIN winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Colton, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:40Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:34Shot by Merrill, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 3:49Shot by McDonagh, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 4:07Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 4:22Fiala: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Rask, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Bogosian, Raddysh, Colton

  10. P1 5:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot4v5
  11. P1 6:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 6:39Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 7:28Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 8:26Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 10:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 10:31Shot by Rutta, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 11:03Goal by Bjugstad (Sturm, Talbot)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Benn, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Duhaime, Sturm · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli, Rutta

  18. P1 11:51Goal by Perry (Bellemare, Sergachev)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Pitlick · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote

  19. P1 12:14Shot by Sergachev, saved by Talbot
  20. P1 13:02Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 14:11Shot by Bogosian, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 14:35Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 14:56Shot by Benn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 16:09Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 16:28Goal by Rask (Fiala, Gaudreau)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Rask, Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Fiala · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli, Rutta

  26. P1 17:40Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  27. P1 18:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:28Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 1:51Shot by Maroon, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 2:34Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 3:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 4:09Shot by Sergachev, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 5:39Shot by Goligoski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 6:53Bogosian: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Benn, Kulikov, Rask, Gaudreau, Fiala · TBL Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton

  37. P2 7:09Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  38. P2 7:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P2 7:23Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  40. P2 8:57Shot by Goligoski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 9:24Goal by Killorn (Stamkos)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Merrill, Bjugstad, Brodin, Duhaime, Sturm · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Palat, Sergachev, Foote

  42. P2 10:13Shot by Perry, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 11:20Shot by Bogosian, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 11:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 11:51Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 11:53Bogosian: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Bogosian, Cirelli, Colton

  47. P2 12:12Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  48. P2 13:41Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  49. P2 13:59Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 14:02Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 14:03Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 14:04Bogosian: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Foligno, Rask, Dumba, Hartman · TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Sergachev

  53. P2 14:44Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P2 15:18Shot by Rutta, saved by Talbot5v4
  55. P2 16:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Talbot5v4
  56. P2 16:47Shot by Foote, saved by Talbot
  57. P2 16:57Shot by Perry, saved by Talbot
  58. P2 18:49Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 19:38Dumba: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala, Eriksson Ek · TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton

  60. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:43Shot by Palat, saved by Talbot4v5
  63. P3 1:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot4v5
  64. P3 1:18Shot by Perry, saved by Talbot4v5
  65. P3 2:02Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 2:18Shot by Bogosian, saved by Talbot
  67. P3 4:09Shot by Duhaime, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 5:46Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 6:37Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 7:00Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 8:36Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 9:15Goal by Hartman (Kaprizov, Pitlick)+30 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Pitlick · TBL Hedman, Katchouk, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton

  73. P3 13:26Shot by Sturm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 13:33Duhaime: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Benn, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Duhaime, Sturm · TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote

  75. P3 14:10Shot by Killorn, saved by Talbot4v5
  76. P3 14:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot4v5
  77. P3 16:27Shot by Maroon, saved by Talbot
  78. P3 19:43Goal by Foligno, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Greenway · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final