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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 1, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 53% of the time.

DET winsSEA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Appleton, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 2:32Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 3:45Shot by Soucy, saved by Greiss
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Staal, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 10:34Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 10:49Appleton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Oesterle, Smith, Suter, Zadina, Seider · SEA Larsson, Wennberg, McCann, Dunn, Appleton

  8. P1 10:55Shot by Seider, saved by Grubauer5v4
  9. P1 11:59Shot by Fabbri, saved by Grubauer5v4
  10. P1 13:32Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 14:02Shot by Dunn, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 14:30Shot by Geekie, saved by Greiss
  13. P1 15:29Shot by Wennberg, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 15:31Shot by Johansson, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 16:29Geekie: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Leddy, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Suter, Raymond · SEA Blackwell, Larsson, Dunn, Tanev, Geekie

  16. P1 16:51Leddy: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Leddy, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · SEA Sheahan, Larsson, Lauzon, Tanev

  17. P1 18:37Shot by Wennberg, saved by Greiss4v5
  18. P1 18:55Namestnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Leddy, Namestnikov, Rasmussen, Lindstrom · SEA Larsson, Wennberg, McCann, Dunn, Appleton

  19. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:34Shot by Johansson, saved by Greiss4v5
  22. P2 1:01Shot by Oesterle, saved by Grubauer
  23. P2 2:06Shot by Soucy, saved by Greiss
  24. P2 3:23Shot by Zadina, saved by Grubauer
  25. P2 3:24Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer
  26. P2 3:25Larsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Smith, Lindstrom, Suter, Zadina · SEA Johansson, Donskoi, Larsson, Wennberg, Dunn

  27. P2 3:52Shot by Raymond, saved by Grubauer5v4
  28. P2 4:39Shot by Larkin, saved by Grubauer5v4
  29. P2 4:46Goal by Fabbri (Larkin, Suter)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Fabbri, Suter, Seider, Raymond · SEA Donskoi, Gourde, Fleury, Lauzon

  30. P2 6:43Shot by Blackwell, saved by Greiss
  31. P2 7:28Shot by Zadina, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 8:00Shot by Fabbri, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 8:08Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 10:24Rasmussen: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Gagner, Rowney, Oesterle, Criscuolo, Seider · SEA Donskoi, Oleksiak, Soucy, Fleury, Donato, Geekie

  35. P2 10:44Goal by Dunn (Johansson, Wennberg)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Lindstrom, Suter · SEA Johansson, Donskoi, Wennberg, McCann, Dunn

  36. P2 11:09Shot by Lauzon, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 12:06Shot by Wennberg, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 12:16Shot by Appleton, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 12:43Shot by Rowney, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 13:38Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 16:04Goal by Donato (Gourde, Donskoi)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Rowney, Oesterle, Criscuolo, Zadina, Seider · SEA Donskoi, Oleksiak, Gourde, Soucy, Donato

  42. P2 16:53Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 18:18Goal by Namestnikov (Oesterle, Seider)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Erne, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Seider · SEA Wennberg, Fleury, Donato, Lauzon, Appleton

  44. P2 18:24Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:28Shot by Oesterle, saved by Grubauer
  48. P3 2:08Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  49. P3 3:39Shot by Soucy, saved by Greiss
  50. P3 4:59Shot by Dunn, saved by Greiss
  51. P3 6:30Goal by Raymond (Larkin, Seider)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DET Oesterle, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · SEA Johansson, Soucy, Wennberg, Lauzon, Appleton

  52. P3 8:03Shot by McCann, saved by Greiss
  53. P3 9:31Shot by Tanev, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 10:36Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 11:59Shot by McCann, saved by Greiss
  56. P3 14:16Goal by Donato (Oleksiak)+34 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Hronek, Suter, Zadina · SEA Donskoi, Oleksiak, Gourde, Fleury, Donato

  57. P3 16:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 17:25Shot by Erne, saved by Grubauer
  59. P3 17:55Shot by Zadina, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 19:47Shot by Zadina, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. OT 0:00Period start
  63. OT 2:10Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss3v3
  64. OT 5:00Period endother
  65. SO Period start
  66. SO Goal by Larkin, unassistedother
  67. SO Shot by McCann, saved by Greissother
  68. SO Goal by Donskoi, unassistedother
  69. SO Goal by Erne, unassistedother
  70. SO Period endother
  71. SO Final