Thu, Dec 2, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 19 | 18 | 02 | 1 | 428 |
| WSH | 08 | 210 | 17 | 03 | 0 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:00CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Seth Jones · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 1:10WSHNic DowdAssists: Carl Hagelin, Garnet Hathaway · Tip-in, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 12:57CHIDominik KubalikPPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Kirby Dach · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 17:31WSHEvgeny KuznetsovAssists: Alex Ovechkin · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P3 0:57WSHGarnet HathawayAssists: Nic Dowd · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–3
- P3 11:56CHISeth JonesAssists: Josiah Slavin, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. WSH Evgeny Kuznetsov stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. WSH Daniel Sprong stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 5. WSH Alex Ovechkin stopped
Penalties (3)
- P1 13:41CHIJujhar Khaira: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:08WSHNic Dowd: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 18:50WSHGarnet Hathaway: Elbowing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuznetsov won the faceoff against Borgstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – DeBrincat – Dach2:25
xG 0.25–0.14 (64%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Dach8:53
xG 0.47–0.39 (54%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Slavin – Hardman8:07
xG 0.23–0.22 (51%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Toews – Kane – Hagel13:46
xG 0.32–0.40 (45%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Jones10:09
xG 0.50–0.22 (70%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- McCabe – Gustafsson8:14
xG 0.27–0.13 (67%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones4:59
xG 0.32–0.20 (61%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOvechkin – Kuznetsov – Protas12:15
xG 1.04–0.33 (76%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson2:43
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway14:02
xG 0.87–0.81 (52%)attempts 17–13goals 2–1
- Malenstyn – Leason – McMichael8:14
xG 0.13–0.22 (37%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlson – Fehérváry15:37
xG 1.28–0.65 (66%)attempts 22–16goals 2–0
- Schultz – van Riemsdyk14:08
xG 0.55–0.35 (61%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Orlov – Jensen15:36
xG 0.51–0.43 (54%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).