Sun, Dec 5, 2021·UBS Arena, Elmont
Chicago Blackhawks 3, New York Islanders 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 110 | 04 | 110 | 02 | 1 | 326 |
| NYI | 08 | 17 | 19 | 00 | 0 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:49CHIBrandon HagelPPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.35 xG1–0
- P2 8:03NYIJean-Gabriel PageauPPAssists: Sebastian Aho, Mathew Barzal · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P3 5:59CHIDylan StromeUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 19:56NYINoah DobsonAssists: Mathew Barzal, Josh Bailey · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NYI Oliver Wahlstrom stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. NYI Mathew Barzal stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 5. NYI Anthony Beauvillier stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:03NYIScott Mayfield: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:18CHIDylan Strome: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 8:34CHIRiley Stillman: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:25NYIScott Mayfield: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:59CHIBrandon Hagel: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:18CHICaleb Jones: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pageau won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – DeBrincat – Dach9:17
xG 0.75–0.14 (84%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Kubalik – Borgstrom – Johnson6:07
xG 0.54–0.06 (90%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Khaira – Carpenter – Slavin9:31
xG 0.21–0.22 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Dach4:41
xG 0.05–0.25 (17%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Jones9:42
xG 1.01–0.62 (62%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Stillman – Mitchell5:04
xG 0.29–0.07 (81%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- de Haan – Mitchell7:02
xG 0.14–0.04 (77%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestBailey – Lee – Barzal8:28
xG 0.43–0.11 (80%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Parise – Clutterbuck – Johnston7:19
xG 0.17–0.11 (61%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Pageau – Bellows4:24
xG 0.37–0.42 (47%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Czarnik – Wahlstrom5:35
xG 0.11–0.50 (18%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMayfield – Pelech15:50
xG 1.02–0.19 (84%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Greene – Dobson11:22
xG 0.18–0.29 (37%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Chara – Aho9:30
xG 0.07–1.09 (6%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).