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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 5, 2021·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

PHI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Fortier, saved by Hart
  3. P1 0:31Shot by Provorov, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 1:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 1:40Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 3:51Shot by Sanheim, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 4:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 4:12Shot by Couturier, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 6:16Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hart
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Fortier, saved by Hart
  11. P1 7:08Shot by Killorn, saved by Hart
  12. P1 7:13Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hart
  13. P1 7:26Shot by MacEwen, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 7:32Shot by MacEwen, saved by Elliott
  15. P1 7:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 8:03Shot by Yandle, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 8:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hart
  18. P1 8:24Goal by McDonagh (Stamkos, Joseph)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Atkinson, Couturier, Ristolainen, Provorov · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Bogosian, Palat, Joseph

  19. P1 9:24Goal by Perry (McDonagh, Bellemare)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Yandle, Braun, Brown, Lindblom, Bunnaman · TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bellemare, Rutta

  20. P1 10:55Shot by Provorov, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 10:57Shot by Atkinson, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 11:35Shot by Yandle, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 13:10Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hart
  24. P1 18:35Shot by Hayes, saved by Elliott
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:46Shot by Seeler, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 2:02Shot by Foote, saved by Hart
  29. P2 2:30Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  30. P2 2:56Goal by Raddysh (Hedman, Colton)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Atkinson, Couturier, Ristolainen, Provorov · TBL Hedman, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton, Rutta

  31. P2 5:49Shot by Sanheim, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 6:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 6:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Hart
  34. P2 6:46Shot by Colton, saved by Hart
  35. P2 6:47Goal by Katchouk (Colton, Hedman)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Yandle, Braun, van Riemsdyk, Laughton, MacEwen · TBL Hedman, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton, Rutta

  36. P2 7:12Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Yandle, Giroux, Atkinson, Hayes, Couturier · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Bogosian, Palat, Joseph

  37. P2 8:34Goal by Joseph, unassisted5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Yandle, van Riemsdyk, Ristolainen, Konecny, Frost · TBL Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli, Rutta

  38. P2 8:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jones5v4
  39. P2 9:18Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 9:55Lindblom: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Braun, Laughton, Brown, Sanheim, Lindblom · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Colton

  41. P2 12:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jones
  42. P2 12:29Shot by MacEwen, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 14:31Rutta: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Atkinson, Couturier, Ristolainen, Provorov · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Joseph, Rutta

  44. P2 16:42Shot by Konecny, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 16:48Shot by Lindblom, saved by Elliott
  46. P2 17:55Shot by Brown, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 18:57Shot by Fortier, saved by Jones
  48. P2 19:48Shot by Provorov, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 1:19Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jones
  53. P3 1:25Shot by Foote, saved by Jones
  54. P3 1:30Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jones
  55. P3 1:51Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jones
  56. P3 1:52Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jones
  57. P3 2:30Shot by Brown, saved by Elliott
  58. P3 4:30Shot by Seeler, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 4:51Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 4:57Shot by Yandle, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 5:29Goal by Maroon (Perry, Hedman)0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Yandle, Braun, van Riemsdyk, Laughton, MacEwen · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta

  62. P3 6:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 6:38Sanheim: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  64. P3 6:38Foote: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  65. P3 6:38Konecny: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  66. P3 6:38Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  67. P3 6:38Foote: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  68. P3 7:04Goal by Atkinson (Giroux, Yandle)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Yandle, Giroux, Atkinson, Couturier, Frost · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Joseph, Sergachev

  69. P3 8:10Shot by Bogosian, saved by Jones
  70. P3 8:49Shot by Brown, saved by Elliott
  71. P3 11:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 12:09Shot by Frost, saved by Elliott
  73. P3 12:12Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jones
  74. P3 12:20Shot by Atkinson, saved by Elliott
  75. P3 12:30Seeler: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Seeler, Couturier, Sanheim, Frost · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote, Fortier

  76. P3 14:15Goal by Perry (McDonagh, Colton)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Braun, Brown, Provorov, Bunnaman · TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Sergachev, Colton

  77. P3 16:00Shot by Laughton, saved by Elliott
  78. P3 16:40Shot by Bunnaman, saved by Elliott
  79. P3 19:09Shot by Lindblom, saved by Elliott
  80. P3 19:40Shot by Yandle, saved by Elliott
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final