Thu, Dec 9, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Boston Bruins 3, Edmonton Oilers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 16 | 115 | 330 |
| EDM | 013 | 114 | 116 | 243 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:15BOSBrad MarchandSHAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 2:02BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 18:14EDMLeon DraisaitlPPAssists: Tyson Barrie, Connor McDavid · Slap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 9:50EDMLeon DraisaitlPPAssists: Connor McDavid, Tyson Barrie · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 17:27BOSMatt GrzelcykGWGAssists: Craig Smith, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:50EDMLeon Draisaitl: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:37EDMZach Hyman: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:26BOSTrent Frederic: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:03BOSNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:10EDMLeon Draisaitl: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:31EDMMarkus Niemelainen: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:31BOSTrent Frederic: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:55BOSErik Haula: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 4:03BOSPatrice Bergeron: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:58BOSCharlie Coyle: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Blidh – Frederic – Kuhlman4:22
xG 0.13–0.12 (52%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Foligno – Haula – DeBrusk7:54
xG 0.35–0.39 (47%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Hall7:12
xG 0.37–0.48 (44%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:05
xG 0.72–0.90 (44%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Grzelcyk10:33
xG 0.52–0.42 (56%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Forbort – McAvoy13:44
xG 0.53–0.56 (49%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
- Reilly – Clifton11:51
xG 0.44–0.91 (33%)attempts 6–22goals 0–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – McDavid – Puljujarvi5:41
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Kassian – Foegele – McLeod11:09
xG 0.91–0.64 (59%)attempts 19–6goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi6:55
xG 0.20–0.05 (80%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto5:34
xG 0.36–0.29 (56%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNurse – Bouchard14:13
xG 0.96–0.52 (65%)attempts 21–15goals 0–1
- Russell – Ceci5:27
xG 0.20–0.00 (99%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Ceci – Nurse2:51
xG 0.14–0.02 (85%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).