Fri, Dec 10, 2021·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Winnipeg Jets 3, Vancouver Canucks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 114 | 211 | 07 | 05 | 0 | 337 |
| VAN | 212 | 19 | 011 | 04 | 1 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:29VANNils HoglanderAssists: Bo Horvat, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 11:07WPGBlake WheelerPPAssists: Nate Schmidt, Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 19:40VANNils HoglanderAssists: Bo Horvat · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 6:09WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Blake Wheeler · Snap, 0.22 xG2–2
- P2 7:06VANConor GarlandAssists: J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.22 xG2–3
- P2 11:08WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Kyle Connor, Blake Wheeler · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. VAN Elias Pettersson scored
- 2. WPG Kyle Connor stopped
- 3. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 4. WPG Mark Scheifele stopped
- 5. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 6. WPG Pierre-Luc Dubois stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:33VANJ.T. Miller: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:24VANNils Hoglander: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:34VANQuinn Hughes: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:24WPGLogan Stanley: Holding2 min
- OT 4:10WPGNikolaj Ehlers: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Scheifele – Connor11:51
xG 1.59–0.71 (69%)attempts 17–9goals 2–1
- Stastny – Scheifele – Connor3:47
xG 0.10–0.01 (91%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Toninato – Harkins – Svechnikov3:31
xG 0.07–0.04 (65%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Toninato – Harkins – Vesalainen2:40
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchmidt – Morrissey19:21
xG 1.06–0.79 (57%)attempts 22–14goals 1–1
- DeMelo – Beaulieu10:52
xG 0.19–0.61 (24%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Dillon – Stanley16:46
xG 0.61–1.75 (26%)attempts 12–19goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Pearson – Boeser14:48
xG 1.59–1.14 (58%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
- Garland – Pettersson – Podkolzin10:10
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Horvat – Hoglander12:08
xG 0.63–0.69 (48%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
- Chiasson – Motte – Lammikko5:49
xG 0.20–0.47 (30%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Burroughs12:50
xG 1.38–0.38 (78%)attempts 18–8goals 1–1
- Myers – Poolman17:33
xG 1.21–0.73 (62%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Myers – Hughes2:17
xG 0.30–0.19 (62%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).