Sat, Dec 11, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Arizona Coyotes 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 114 | 312 | 18 | 534 |
| ARI | 111 | 113 | 18 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:14PHIJames van RiemsdykUnassisted · Snap, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 1:53ARIJay BeagleAssists: Antoine Roussel, Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 5:26PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 10:38ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Cam Dineen, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
- P2 11:21PHIPatrick BrownUnassisted · Snap, 0.15 xG3–2
- P2 12:34PHIJames van RiemsdykPPGWGAssists: Travis Konecny, Keith Yandle · Tip-in, 0.21 xG4–2
- P3 7:50PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Cam Atkinson, Morgan Frost · Wrist, 0.10 xG5–2
- P3 11:35ARILawson CrouseAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Cam Dineen · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:50ARITravis Boyd: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:13PHIKeith Yandle: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:42ARILoui Eriksson: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:00PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 0:00ARIDysin Mayo: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayton won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestCouturier – Laughton – Konecny10:46
xG 0.71–0.13 (85%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Giroux – Atkinson – Frost8:18
xG 0.44–0.12 (78%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Brown – Lindblom – MacEwen5:47
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Willman10:11
xG 0.69–1.11 (38%)attempts 6–23goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Provorov15:48
xG 0.98–0.35 (74%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Yandle – Connauton10:43
xG 0.57–0.56 (50%)attempts 13–13goals 2–1
- Ristolainen – Sanheim15:51
xG 0.45–0.69 (39%)attempts 12–17goals 1–2
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Beagle – Roussel7:52
xG 0.56–0.10 (85%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Schmaltz – Crouse – Hayton11:03
xG 0.44–0.35 (56%)attempts 13–10goals 2–0
- Kessel – Boyd – Keller10:08
xG 0.27–0.50 (35%)attempts 10–9goals 0–2
- Ladd – Galchenyuk – Fischer7:09
xG 0.25–0.48 (35%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDineen – Lyubushkin10:44
xG 0.56–0.09 (86%)attempts 15–3goals 2–0
- Stralman – Capobianco12:01
xG 0.20–0.56 (26%)attempts 9–11goals 0–3
- Gostisbehere – Mayo17:35
xG 0.64–1.28 (33%)attempts 17–26goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).