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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 12, 2021·Ball Arena, Denver

Florida Panthers 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Florida Panthers

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 6:16Shot by Maltsev, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 7:21Shot by Makar, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 12:14Shot by Tippett, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 12:23Shot by Weegar, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 13:20Shot by Newhook, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 13:20Lomberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Nichushkin, MacDonald, O'Connor, Newhook · FLA Hornqvist, Gudas, Forsling, Lomberg, Luostarinen

  9. P1 13:42Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  10. P1 15:57Shot by Maltsev, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 16:02Aube-Kubel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Aube-Kubel, MacDonald, Maltsev, O'Connor · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Montour, Tippett

  12. P1 16:46Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper4v5
  13. P1 17:22Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper4v5
  14. P1 17:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper4v5
  15. P1 17:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper4v5
  16. P1 17:23Shot by Bennett, saved by Kuemper4v5
  17. P1 17:37Shot by Vatrano, saved by Kuemper4v5
  18. P1 17:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  19. P1 18:37Shot by Lomberg, saved by Kuemper
  20. P1 18:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 19:44Shot by Newhook, saved by Bobrovsky
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:50Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper
  25. P2 2:15Lomberg: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Aube-Kubel, Jost, MacDonald · FLA Thornton, Hornqvist, Montour, Lomberg, Carlsson

  26. P2 2:15Aube-Kubel: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Aube-Kubel, Jost, MacDonald · FLA Thornton, Hornqvist, Montour, Lomberg, Carlsson

  27. P2 2:18Shot by Weegar, saved by Kuemper
  28. P2 2:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 5:14Shot by Jost, saved by Bobrovsky
  30. P2 6:51Shot by Tippett, saved by Kuemper
  31. P2 8:01Makar: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Gudas, Huberdeau, Reinhart, Bennett

  32. P2 10:08Shot by Weegar, saved by Kuemper
  33. P2 11:52Shot by Bennett, saved by Kuemper
  34. P2 12:13Shot by Makar, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 12:16Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Bobrovsky
  36. P2 14:40Shot by Montour, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 14:57Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Kuemper
  38. P2 15:59Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 17:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 18:23Ekblad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · FLA Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett

  41. P2 19:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  42. P2 19:37Goal by Burakovsky (Rantanen, MacKinnon)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Gudas, Huberdeau, Weegar, Lundell

  43. P2 19:57Shot by Helm, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:09Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky
  47. P3 1:36Shot by Lomberg, saved by Kuemper
  48. P3 1:37Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper
  49. P3 2:03Goal by Burakovsky (Rantanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Girard · FLA Thornton, Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Tippett

  50. P3 3:29Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P3 4:04Shot by Montour, saved by Kuemper
  52. P3 4:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky
  53. P3 6:00Maltsev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Compher, Girard, Maltsev · FLA Verhaeghe, Montour, Carlsson, Tippett, Lundell

  54. P3 7:41Goal by Thornton (Verhaeghe, Vatrano)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Makar, O'Connor · FLA Thornton, Verhaeghe, Montour, Vatrano, Tippett

  55. P3 8:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 10:05Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 10:15Goal by Montour (Verhaeghe, Forsling)+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Toews, Jost, O'Connor · FLA Hornqvist, Verhaeghe, Montour, Forsling, Lundell

  58. P3 10:58Shot by O'Connor, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 11:43Goal by Burakovsky (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+32 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · FLA Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett

  60. P3 12:35Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 12:40Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 13:31Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 15:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky
  64. P3 16:21Shot by Weegar, saved by Kuemper
  65. P3 16:52Shot by Tippett, saved by Kuemper
  66. P3 17:47Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper5v6
  67. P3 18:42Rantanen: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen · FLA Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett

  68. P3 19:01Shot by Bennett, saved by Kuemper4v6
  69. P3 19:46Shot by Weegar, saved by Kuemper4v6
  70. P3 19:56Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper4v6
  71. P3 0:00Weegar: Misconduct (10 min)4v6

    On ice: COL Helm, Johnson, Toews, Jost · FLA Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett

  72. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  73. P3 0:00Final