Fri, Dec 17, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Arizona Coyotes 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 25 | 113 | 26 | 13 | 627 |
| ANA | 311 | 06 | 219 | 01 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:46ARITravis BoydAssists: Phil Kessel, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 5:47ANAKevin ShattenkirkPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Troy Terry · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 6:44ANAHampus LindholmAssists: Sam Steel, Rickard Rakell · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P1 8:41ANADerek GrantAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Isac Lundeström · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–3
- P1 15:12ARIChristian FischerPPAssists: Barrett Hayton, Nick Schmaltz · Slap, 0.27 xG2–3
- P2 19:26ARIClayton KellerAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.34 xG3–3
- P3 2:07ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Hampus Lindholm · Slap, 0.03 xG3–4
- P3 8:35ARIAndrew LaddAssists: Travis Boyd, Ilya Lyubushkin · Tip-in, 0.10 xG4–4
- P3 9:41ARIPhil KesselAssists: Travis Boyd, Anton Stralman · Tip-in, 0.18 xG5–4
- P3 13:10ANAHampus LindholmPPAssists: Trevor Zegras, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–5
- OT 2:09ARIClayton KellerGWGAssists: Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.14 xG6–5
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:30ARILiam O'Brien: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:30ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:06ARIBlake Speers: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:51ANASam Carrick: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 13:51ARIJohan Larsson: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:51ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:38ARILiam O'Brien: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:25ANASimon Benoit: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:33ANATroy Terry: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:00ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:01ARINick Schmaltz: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 5:55ARITravis Boyd: Holding2 min
- P3 12:07ARIJ.J. Moser: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Boyd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Kessel – Boyd2:40
xG 0.47–0.18 (72%)attempts 5–4goals 2–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton9:21
xG 0.92–0.86 (52%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- Kessel – Boyd – O'Brien5:39
xG 0.23–0.20 (54%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Roussel – Larsson – Fischer2:50
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Moser12:58
xG 0.72–0.62 (53%)attempts 8–11goals 2–1
- Dineen – Lyubushkin11:36
xG 0.34–0.50 (41%)attempts 5–13goals 1–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo13:00
xG 0.47–0.81 (37%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Milano – Zegras10:46
xG 0.57–0.08 (88%)attempts 12–1goals 0–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström6:07
xG 0.85–0.37 (70%)attempts 11–4goals 1–1
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Steel7:02
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Terry – Comtois8:54
xG 0.27–0.60 (31%)attempts 7–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Benoit10:39
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale13:54
xG 0.72–0.45 (61%)attempts 17–6goals 1–1
- Fowler – Manson12:15
xG 0.85–0.89 (49%)attempts 12–8goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).