Tue, Feb 8, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 1, Vancouver Canucks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 015 | 110 | 011 | 136 |
| VAN | 07 | 312 | 210 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:48VANConor GarlandAssists: Noah Juulsen, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Slap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 4:44VANBo HorvatPPGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, J.T. Miller · Deflected, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 6:10VANElias PetterssonAssists: Vasily Podkolzin, Nils Hoglander · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 13:31ARILawson CrouseAssists: Travis Boyd, Anton Stralman · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 6:20VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Noah Juulsen · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–4
- P3 12:50VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Bo Horvat · Deflected, 0.11 xG1–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 9:33VANJuho Lammikko: Holding2 min
- P1 19:10VANJason Dickinson: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:21ARIPhil Kessel: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:51VANNils Hoglander: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:15ARIJakob Chychrun: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:15VANVasily Podkolzin: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:17VANTyler Motte: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:25ARIIlya Lyubushkin: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 13:03ARILawson Crouse: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:03VANKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:14ARIRiley Nash: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Nash
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGalchenyuk – Schmaltz – Keller6:33
xG 0.64–0.23 (73%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Crouse2:41
xG 0.24–0.04 (87%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Ladd – Dzingel8:07
xG 0.38–0.26 (59%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kessel – Boyd – Crouse7:03
xG 0.18–0.09 (68%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Lyubushkin14:50
xG 0.89–0.62 (59%)attempts 18–11goals 0–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo12:03
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Stralman – Moser11:50
xG 0.40–0.53 (43%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMotte – Horvat – Garland2:55
xG 0.15–0.06 (72%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Miller – Pearson – Boeser9:58
xG 0.49–0.44 (52%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Hoglander – Podkolzin7:36
xG 0.21–0.28 (43%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Chiasson – Motte – Lammikko5:54
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Juulsen10:44
xG 0.71–0.59 (54%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Hunt – Burroughs13:12
xG 0.17–0.28 (38%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Schenn – Myers14:11
xG 0.41–0.95 (30%)attempts 10–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).