Thu, Feb 10, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
50%
10%
10%
30%
BUF winsCBJ wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nyquist–Jenner–Laine | Kuraly–Domi–Chinakhov | Voracek–Bjorkstrand–Sillinger | Gaunce–Roslovic–Fix-Wolansky | Voracek–Chinakhov–Sillinger | Voracek–Jenner–Bjorkstrand | Nyquist–Laine–Sillinger | Jenner–Bjorkstrand–Laine | Kuraly–Bjorkstrand–Domi | Nyquist–Kuraly–Domi | Werenski–Peeke | Gavrikov–Boqvist | Kukan–Bayreuther | Gavrikov–Peeke | Werenski–Boqvist | Werenski–Kukan | Kukan–Gavrikov | Werenski–Gavrikov | Kukan–Peeke | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 6:200.31–0.01 | 0:530.03–0.01 | 1:410.04–0.01 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:170.02–0.01 | 5:100.27–0.00 | 3:520.57–0.01 | 2:080.00–0.00 | 1:550.06–0.01 | |||||||||
| Olofsson–Asplund–Krebs | 2:280.08–0.00 | 3:380.08–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 3:370.16–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Jankowski | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:010.04–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 1:480.06–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:150.04–0.00 | 1:100.06–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.31 | 0:320.01–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Hayden–Bjork–Cozens | 1:280.00–0.09 | 1:040.00–0.15 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.06 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 1:100.02–0.07 | 0:500.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||
| Okposo–Bjork–Cozens | 0:490.00–0.03 | 2:530.00–0.06 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 1:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Eakin–Jankowski–Hayden | 2:420.01–0.23 | 2:160.01–0.08 | 0:570.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Cozens | 0:450.02–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Olofsson–Asplund–Cozens | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 6:230.37–0.00 | 1:450.03–0.00 | 1:510.02–0.01 | 1:420.03–0.17 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 1:220.06–0.02 | 0:460.13–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 6:330.33–0.06 | 5:280.61–0.01 | 1:240.12–0.00 | 2:280.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.01 | 1:020.11–0.03 | 0:300.03–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.02 | |||
| Fitzgerald–Samuelsson | 3:040.00–0.17 | 2:290.00–0.03 | 1:560.00–0.07 | 2:500.03–0.22 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 4:590.01–0.08 | 3:280.00–0.13 | 1:230.00–0.04 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.09 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.04 | |||
| Pysyk–Hagg | 3:190.08–0.07 | 3:080.18–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.31 | 2:200.26–0.00 | 2:120.06–0.04 | 4:220.02–0.07 | 1:210.00–0.04 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Fitzgerald–Dahlin | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:400.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach WerenskiCBJ | 30 | 27:47 | 0:56 | 1:52 | 7 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 32 | 25:09 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 7 | 2 |
 Andrew PeekeCBJ | 28 | 24:05 | 0:52 | 2:33 | 4 | 4 |
 Vladislav GavrikovCBJ | 25 | 23:13 | 0:56 | 1:50 | 1 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 30 | 22:56 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Boone JennerCBJ | 26 | 20:57 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 4 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 26 | 20:48 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrik LaineCBJ | 23 | 20:29 | 0:53 | 2:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 19:53 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 19:01 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 4 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 18:25 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 4 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 18:01 | 0:43 | 2:03 | 1 | 4 |
 Gustav NyquistCBJ | 24 | 17:38 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Adam BoqvistCBJ | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandCBJ | 20 | 17:29 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 6 | 0 |
 Jakub VoracekCBJ | 24 | 17:17 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 |
 Cole SillingerCBJ | 23 | 16:28 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 1 | 4 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 23 | 15:46 | 0:41 | 1:42 | 1 | 4 |
 Dean KukanCBJ | 21 | 15:36 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean KuralyCBJ | 20 | 15:27 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark JankowskiBUF | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 0 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 14:59 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Egor ChinakhovCBJ | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 14:24 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 14:19 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 14:14 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Max DomiCBJ | 16 | 14:12 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 1 | 0 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 19 | 13:34 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 13:34 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 John HaydenBUF | 14 | 11:20 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 13 | 10:14 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Gavin BayreutherCBJ | 13 | 9:46 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack RoslovicCBJ | 16 | 9:09 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 2 | 1 |
 Brendan GaunceCBJ | 14 | 8:45 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Trey Fix-WolanskyCBJ | 15 | 8:18 | 0:33 | 0:49 | 2 | 1 |