Wed, Feb 9, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Arizona Coyotes 5, Seattle Kraken 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 18 | 110 | 39 | 527 |
| SEA | 015 | 09 | 212 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:07ARIPhil KesselAssists: J.J. Moser · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 14:51ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Ilya Lyubushkin · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P3 0:16SEAColin BlackwellAssists: Yanni Gourde · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 1:52ARIAnton StralmanGWGAssists: Ryan Dzingel, Loui Eriksson · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 15:52SEACalle JarnkrokAssists: Yanni Gourde, Alexander Wennberg · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P3 18:23ARIAlex GalchenyukENAssists: Phil Kessel · Backhand, 0.77 xG4–2
- P3 19:00ARINick SchmaltzENAssists: Clayton Keller, Ilya Lyubushkin · Backhand, 0.72 xG5–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 19:40ARIAntoine Roussel: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:39SEAMason Appleton: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:15SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:27ARIJakob Chychrun: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyd won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Galchenyuk – Crouse11:12
xG 0.70–0.30 (70%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Ladd – Dzingel8:16
xG 0.34–0.30 (53%)attempts 7–9goals 1–1
- Roussel – O'Brien – Fischer10:00
xG 0.15–0.11 (58%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller12:21
xG 0.54–0.75 (42%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Lyubushkin15:55
xG 0.97–0.34 (74%)attempts 21–16goals 1–1
- Stralman – Moser15:42
xG 0.54–0.68 (44%)attempts 12–11goals 2–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo14:05
xG 0.45–0.72 (38%)attempts 10–20goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestJarnkrok – Gourde – Wennberg4:58
xG 0.50–0.14 (77%)attempts 6–4goals 1–1
- Eberle – Johansson – McCann13:06
xG 0.51–0.48 (52%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
- Blackwell – Donato – Geekie3:17
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Blackwell – Geekie5:52
xG 0.02–0.18 (12%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDunn – Lauzon14:23
xG 0.64–0.53 (55%)attempts 18–11goals 1–0
- Fleury – Borgen11:20
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Giordano – Larsson15:48
xG 0.22–1.23 (15%)attempts 10–21goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).