Sat, Feb 19, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 5, Arizona Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 113 | 314 | 539 |
| ARI | 14 | 29 | 010 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:52ARIAnton StralmanAssists: Barrett Hayton, J.J. Moser · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 9:04LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Tobias Bjornfot · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 7:41ARILawson CrouseAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 12:40ARIClayton KellerAssists: Travis Boyd, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–3
- P2 18:33LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Dustin Brown · Snap, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 6:24LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
- P3 7:12LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.07 xG4–3
- P3 10:03LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.06 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:26ARILawson Crouse: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:25LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:26ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 19:13LAKTrevor Moore: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:38ARILawson Crouse: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:29LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:40ARIJakob Chychrun: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Galchenyuk
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore13:21
xG 1.06–0.51 (67%)attempts 21–8goals 1–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo10:35
xG 0.79–0.31 (72%)attempts 15–8goals 2–1
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:26
xG 0.50–0.16 (76%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Brown – Athanasiou – Byfield9:33
xG 0.11–0.43 (21%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:06
xG 1.42–0.79 (64%)attempts 26–17goals 2–2
- Maatta – Roy15:10
xG 0.61–0.32 (66%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot12:03
xG 0.23–0.36 (39%)attempts 8–6goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Ladd – Hayton7:28
xG 0.52–0.07 (87%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller8:46
xG 0.34–0.40 (46%)attempts 6–8goals 1–2
- Roussel – O'Brien – Fischer6:31
xG 0.01–0.40 (2%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Crouse11:12
xG 0.29–0.93 (24%)attempts 6–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Capobianco – Chychrun12:09
xG 0.46–0.45 (50%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo12:27
xG 0.22–0.48 (32%)attempts 9–13goals 1–1
- Stralman – Moser13:38
xG 0.49–1.31 (27%)attempts 9–22goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).