Tue, Dec 28, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 7, San Jose Sharks 8 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 214 | 214 | 313 | 05 | 0 | 746 |
| SJS | 28 | 311 | 26 | 02 | 2 | 827 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:46SJSAlexander BarabanovAssists: Logan Couture, Timo Meier · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 5:36ARILawson CrouseAssists: Phil Kessel · Slap, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 11:22SJSNick BoninoAssists: Matt Nieto, Andrew Cogliano · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–2
- P1 17:40ARIJ.J. MoserAssists: Lawson Crouse · Slap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 5:27SJSRadim SimekAssists: Jayden Halbgewachs, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Slap, 0.02 xG2–3
- P2 5:34SJSJeffrey VielAssists: Jonah Gadjovich, Lane Pederson · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–4
- P2 7:48ARIClayton KellerAssists: Phil Kessel, Johan Larsson · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–4
- P2 14:13SJSTimo MeierUnassisted · Backhand, 0.20 xG3–5
- P2 19:37ARIJ.J. MoserPPAssists: Johan Larsson, Loui Eriksson · Slap, 0.03 xG4–5
- P3 1:44SJSTomas HertlAssists: Noah Gregor · Slap, 0.11 xG4–6
- P3 7:35ARILawson CrouseAssists: Dysin Mayo, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.32 xG5–6
- P3 13:00SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.09 xG5–7
- P3 16:51ARIShayne GostisbehereAssists: Phil Kessel, Johan Larsson · Slap, 0.03 xG6–7
- P3 18:31ARIAndrew LaddPPAssists: Lawson Crouse, Shayne Gostisbehere · Slap, 0.41 xG7–7
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 2. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 3. SJS Tomas Hertl scored
- 4. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:32ARIJan Jenik: Cross checking2 min
- P1 2:32ARIJan Jenik: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:32SJSJonah Gadjovich: Cross checking2 min
- P1 2:32SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:42ARIAndrew Ladd: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:59SJSJayden Halbgewachs: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 8:30SJSJonah Gadjovich: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:14ARIKyle Capobianco: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:32SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- OT 0:53ARIClayton Keller: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Hayton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Larsson – Crouse13:51
xG 1.93–0.18 (92%)attempts 19–5goals 4–2
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton12:29
xG 0.43–0.48 (47%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Ladd – Carcone – Jenik7:48
xG 0.32–0.50 (39%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Roussel – Speers8:34
xG 0.07–0.96 (7%)attempts 2–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Mayo18:13
xG 1.62–0.98 (62%)attempts 20–16goals 2–3
- Stralman – Moser17:56
xG 0.55–0.43 (57%)attempts 12–9goals 3–1
- Capobianco – Dineen10:41
xG 0.68–0.87 (44%)attempts 8–11goals 0–2
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Meier – Barabanov12:31
xG 1.06–0.66 (62%)attempts 14–11goals 3–1
- Hertl – Gregor – Halbgewachs5:28
xG 0.40–0.08 (84%)attempts 7–2goals 2–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto8:24
xG 0.58–0.52 (53%)attempts 6–6goals 1–3
- Cogliano – Bonino – Halbgewachs3:28
xG 0.10–0.05 (67%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro18:18
xG 1.10–0.72 (60%)attempts 16–11goals 3–0
- Vlasic – Simek10:43
xG 0.42–0.29 (59%)attempts 9–6goals 2–0
- Karlsson – Middleton15:52
xG 0.60–1.47 (29%)attempts 10–18goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).