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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 24, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Detroit Red Wings 2, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 53% of the time.

NYI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Goal by Beauvillier (Lee)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson · DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Vrana, Hronek, Suter

  3. P1 1:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 2:08Shot by Barzal, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 6:12Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 7:24Shot by Vrana, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 9:52Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 9:53Shot by Pearson, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 10:30Shot by Martin, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 12:29Shot by Barzal, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 13:55Shot by Gagner, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 16:07Goal by Wahlstrom (Barzal, Pelech)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson · DET Staal, Hronek, Rasmussen, Veleno, Raymond

  14. P1 16:12Wahlstrom: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson · DET Sundqvist, Walman, Lindstrom, Veleno, Hirose

  15. P1 16:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin4v5
  16. P1 16:32Pageau: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock · DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hirose, Seider, Raymond

  17. P1 16:59Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin3v5
  18. P1 17:09Shot by Vrana, saved by Sorokin3v5
  19. P1 17:24Shot by Vrana, saved by Sorokin3v5
  20. P1 17:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin3v5
  21. P1 18:48Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:05Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 1:33Shot by Pulock, saved by Greiss
  26. P2 2:48Shot by Oesterle, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 4:06Shot by Dobson, saved by Greiss
  28. P2 6:39Shot by Staal, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 7:57Shot by Bellows, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 9:02Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 9:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 9:37Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 10:39Hirose: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Greene, Barzal, Aho, Wahlstrom · DET Sundqvist, Walman, Lindstrom, Suter, Hirose

  34. P2 10:53Shot by Nelson, saved by Greiss5v4
  35. P2 11:14Shot by Dobson, saved by Greiss5v4
  36. P2 11:39Goal by Nelson (Lee, Barzal)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson · DET Sundqvist, Oesterle, Hronek, Suter

  37. P2 13:10Shot by Palmieri, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 14:01Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 14:10Shot by Greene, saved by Greiss
  40. P2 14:11Wahlstrom: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Greene, Barzal, Aho, Wahlstrom · DET Oesterle, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond

  41. P2 15:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin4v5
  42. P2 15:49Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin4v5
  43. P2 16:09Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin4v5
  44. P2 17:51Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 18:09Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 18:09Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 19:06Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 19:08Shot by Pageau, saved by Greiss
  49. P2 19:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:19Goal by Bailey (Palmieri, Pageau)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock · DET Larkin, Walman, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Raymond

  53. P3 1:48Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 2:07Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 2:12Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 2:23Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  57. P3 2:46Shot by Gagner, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 4:29Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 5:09Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P3 5:23Shot by Parise, saved by Nedeljkovic
  61. P3 5:27Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P3 5:37Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 7:41Shot by Bellows, saved by Nedeljkovic
  64. P3 8:59Shot by Chara, saved by Nedeljkovic
  65. P3 9:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 12:31Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic
  67. P3 12:57Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 13:25Goal by Suter (Hronek, Bertuzzi)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier · DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Suter, Hirose

  69. P3 13:58Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 14:07Goal by Nelson (Beauvillier, Lee)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Greene, Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Aho · DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Suter, Hirose

  71. P3 15:18Goal by Gagner (Vrana)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Bellows, Aho, Dobson · DET Gagner, Oesterle, Vrana, Pearson, Seider

  72. P3 15:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  73. P3 16:29Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin5v6
  74. P3 17:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final