Sat, Jan 1, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Montréal Canadiens 2, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 115 | 16 | 010 | 231 |
| FLA | 115 | 221 | 212 | 548 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:32FLASam BennettAssists: Anthony Duclair, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 3:48MTLJonathan DrouinAssists: Sami Niku, David Savard · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 9:29MTLNick SuzukiAssists: Jesse Ylonen, Sami Niku · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 15:02FLAAleksander BarkovPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.18 xG2–2
- P2 17:30FLAFrank VatranoGWGAssists: Sam Reinhart, Owen Tippett · Slap, 0.28 xG2–3
- P3 0:15FLASam BennettAssists: MacKenzie Weegar, Jonathan Huberdeau · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 13:04FLAMason MarchmentAssists: Anton Lundell · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:48FLARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:48MTLMichael Pezzetta: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:13FLABrandon Montour: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:41MTLDavid Savard: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:24MTLDavid Savard: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:39FLAAaron Ekblad: Interference2 min
- P2 13:56MTLCorey Schueneman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:00MTLKale Clague: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:53MTLDavid Savard: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:17FLARadko Gudas: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bennett won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Drouin – Suzuki – Ylonen12:22
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Belzile – Vejdemo – Hillis3:01
xG 0.21–0.32 (39%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Belzile – Paquette – Vejdemo3:14
xG 0.00–0.36 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Belzile – Vejdemo – Pezzetta2:15
xG 0.05–0.55 (9%)attempts 1–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Schueneman3:10
xG 0.39–0.16 (71%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Savard – Niku6:25
xG 0.32–0.21 (61%)attempts 2–8goals 1–0
- Niku – Schueneman3:03
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Duclair – Bennett8:44
xG 1.11–0.23 (83%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Reinhart – Vatrano – Tippett8:28
xG 1.34–0.46 (74%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Mamin8:43
xG 0.46–0.05 (91%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Marchment – Lundell8:06
xG 0.38–0.33 (54%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Forsling4:15
xG 0.94–0.02 (98%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Montour – Carlsson11:24
xG 1.10–0.21 (84%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Weegar – Ekblad14:38
xG 1.26–0.56 (69%)attempts 17–14goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).