Sat, Jan 1, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Vancouver Canucks 5, Seattle Kraken 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 214 | 08 | 313 | 535 |
| SEA | 06 | 19 | 117 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:53VANVasily PodkolzinUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 14:49VANNils HoglanderPPAssists: Brad Hunt, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–0
- P2 9:10SEACalle JarnkrokAssists: Carson Soucy, Yanni Gourde · Snap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 4:46VANTyler MotteGWGAssists: Matthew Highmore, Juho Lammikko · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–1
- P3 10:43SEAWill BorgenAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
- P3 11:29VANConor GarlandAssists: Quinn Hughes, Tanner Pearson · Slap, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 17:43VANTanner PearsonENAssists: J.T. Miller, Tyler Myers · Wrist, 0.60 xG5–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:12VANTanner Pearson: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:12SEACarson Soucy: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:09SEAJared McCann: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:16VANQuinn Hughes: Interference2 min
- P3 2:11SEACarson Soucy: Holding2 min
- P3 14:24VANTyler Motte: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPearson – Garland – Pettersson9:43
xG 0.37–0.10 (78%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Motte – Horvat – Highmore11:16
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Miller – Lammikko2:51
xG 0.11–0.04 (71%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Miller – Hoglander – Podkolzin12:22
xG 0.48–0.60 (45%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson15:37
xG 1.03–0.48 (68%)attempts 20–20goals 1–2
- Schenn – Hughes17:08
xG 0.49–0.31 (62%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Myers – Poolman2:01
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 1–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestDonskoi – Wennberg – Donato11:16
xG 0.36–0.29 (55%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Eberle – McCann – Geekie13:42
xG 0.34–0.48 (41%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Johansson – Sheahan – McCormick6:55
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Blackwell – Gourde11:09
xG 0.13–0.74 (14%)attempts 8–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Fleury2:14
xG 0.06–0.00 (99%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Giordano – Oleksiak14:05
xG 0.17–0.27 (39%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Giordano – Larsson2:21
xG 0.07–0.26 (22%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).