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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 22, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

New York Islanders 5, Seattle Kraken 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 80% of the time.

SEA winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Mayfield, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 2:02Shot by Pelech, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 3:53Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 4:39Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 4:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 5:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 5:52Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 6:54Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 8:35Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 8:53Goal by Nelson (Beauvillier, Pulock)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Jarnkrok, Gourde, Fleury, Dunn, Czarnik · NYI Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Bellows, Aho

  12. P1 9:36Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 11:05Shot by Lauzon, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 13:40Shot by Pulock, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 15:01Shot by Chara, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 16:22Shot by Mayfield, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 17:19Goal by Parise (Dobson, Barzal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Giordano, Jarnkrok, Larsson, Gourde, Appleton · NYI Chara, Parise, Palmieri, Barzal, Dobson

  18. P1 19:24Shot by Mayfield, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:53Shot by Palmieri, saved by Grubauer
  22. P2 5:34Goal by Palmieri (Parise)+9 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Jarnkrok, Larsson, Gourde, Dunn, Appleton · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Mayfield, Barzal, Aho

  23. P2 5:50Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 6:13Shot by Mayfield, saved by Grubauer
  25. P2 7:17Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Grubauer
  26. P2 7:34Shot by Sheahan, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 7:50Shot by Cizikas, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 7:52Shot by Cizikas, saved by Grubauer
  29. P2 7:52Shot by Martin, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 8:23Shot by Lee, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 8:30Shot by Pulock, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 9:14Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 10:22Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 10:25Shot by Mayfield, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 10:33Goal by Cizikas (Mayfield, Aho)+4 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Donato, Dunn, Lauzon, Czarnik, Geekie · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Aho

  36. P2 11:18Goal by Gourde (Jarnkrok)+3 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Giordano, Jarnkrok, Larsson, Gourde, Appleton · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Aho

  37. P2 11:39Shot by Appleton, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 12:23Shot by Fleury, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 12:58Shot by Sheahan, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 13:23Shot by Johansson, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 13:50Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 15:42Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 16:53Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 18:16Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 18:44Shot by Fleury, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:35Goal by Sheahan, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Sheahan, Blackwell, Oleksiak, Wennberg, Fleury · NYI Chara, Bailey, Lee, Pageau, Dobson

  49. P3 3:25Shot by Palmieri, saved by Grubauer
  50. P3 3:49Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 4:31Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 5:36Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 6:22Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 6:54Appleton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Jarnkrok, Oleksiak, Gourde, Fleury, Appleton · NYI Chara, Parise, Palmieri, Barzal, Dobson

  55. P3 6:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Grubauer4v5
  56. P3 7:28Barzal: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SEA Giordano, Sheahan, Blackwell, Larsson · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  57. P3 8:04Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin4v4
  58. P3 8:27Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin4v4
  59. P3 8:40Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer4v4
  60. P3 11:01Shot by Palmieri, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 12:16Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 13:15Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 15:21Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 16:11Shot by Pageau, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 18:02Goal by Parise (Chara)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Giordano, Eberle, Johansson, Jarnkrok, Gourde, Geekie · NYI Chara, Parise, Lee, Pageau, Mayfield

  66. P3 18:07Shot by Czarnik, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 18:58Shot by Lee, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 19:05Shot by Chara, saved by Grubauer
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final