Wed, Feb 9, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Islanders 6, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 513 | 06 | 18 | 627 |
| VAN | 19 | 212 | 016 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25NYIZach PariseAssists: Noah Dobson · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 3:43NYIBrock NelsonAssists: Adam Pelech · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 3:56NYIAnders LeeAssists: Ryan Pulock, Cal Clutterbuck · Deflected, 0.06 xG3–0
- P1 13:11NYICasey CizikasGWGAssists: Anthony Beauvillier, Zdeno Chara · Deflected, 0.05 xG4–0
- P1 16:19NYIMathew BarzalAssists: Anders Lee, Cal Clutterbuck · Wrist, 0.20 xG5–0
- P1 18:56VANOliver Ekman-LarssonUnassisted · Snap, 0.15 xG5–1
- P2 13:04VANElias PetterssonAssists: Vasily Podkolzin · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–2
- P2 14:35VANLuke SchennAssists: Brad Hunt, Conor Garland · Snap, 0.01 xG5–3
- P3 14:19NYIMatt MartinAssists: Casey Cizikas, Scott Mayfield · Snap, 0.22 xG6–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:35VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:35NYIRoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:29NYIMatt Martin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:12NYIZdeno Chara: Interference2 min
- P3 3:27NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:27VANJ.T. Miller: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:27VANJ.T. Miller: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Pageau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestParise – Pageau – Wahlstrom10:03
xG 0.61–0.20 (76%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Clutterbuck – Lee – Barzal8:08
xG 0.34–0.25 (57%)attempts 10–5goals 2–1
- Martin – Cizikas – Beauvillier6:48
xG 0.34–0.43 (44%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Bailey – Nelson – Johnston9:10
xG 0.18–0.38 (32%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Pulock15:12
xG 1.14–0.39 (74%)attempts 15–15goals 3–1
- Chara – Dobson15:29
xG 0.27–0.41 (40%)attempts 15–15goals 1–1
- Mayfield – Pelech15:11
xG 0.27–0.88 (23%)attempts 13–20goals 2–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Hoglander – Podkolzin10:33
xG 0.89–0.38 (70%)attempts 22–4goals 2–1
- Motte – Horvat – Garland12:58
xG 0.31–0.30 (50%)attempts 17–11goals 1–1
- Chiasson – Dowling – Lammikko8:09
xG 0.14–0.18 (43%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Miller – Pearson – Boeser11:24
xG 0.48–0.60 (44%)attempts 9–14goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Burroughs6:39
xG 0.38–0.02 (96%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Schenn – Hunt6:25
xG 0.28–0.05 (86%)attempts 14–2goals 1–0
- Burroughs – Juulsen5:17
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).