Thu, Jan 6, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Arizona Coyotes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 013 | 212 | 211 | 436 |
| ARI | 28 | 110 | 38 | 626 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:16ARIDysin MayoAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Alex Galchenyuk · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 19:06ARIJohan LarssonAssists: J.J. Moser, Shayne Gostisbehere · Deflected, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 1:01CHIKirby DachAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 5:24CHIMacKenzie EntwistleAssists: Jonathan Toews, Calvin de Haan · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–2
- P2 9:56ARITravis BoydPPAssists: Andrew Ladd, Phil Kessel · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 3:10ARIClayton KellerAssists: Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–4
- P3 4:01ARIJohan LarssonPPGWGAssists: Travis Boyd, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–5
- P3 6:29CHIJake McCabeAssists: Riley Stillman, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–5
- P3 13:21CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.22 xG4–5
- P3 19:31ARIJohan LarssonENAssists: Lawson Crouse, Clayton Keller · Backhand, 0.72 xG4–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:18ARIClayton Keller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 16:27ARIAndrew Ladd: Holding2 min
- P2 6:26CHIHenrik Borgstrom: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:47CHIConnor Murphy: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:38CHIKirby Dach: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:11ARILawson Crouse: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 16:52CHIRiley Stillman: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:10CHIDylan Strome: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P3 10:49ARIJohan Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:54ARIAnton Stralman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyd won the faceoff against Borgstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestEntwistle – Kurashev – Dach8:37
xG 0.61–0.06 (91%)attempts 8–3goals 1–1
- Khaira – Carpenter – Strome3:56
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 7–2goals 0–1
- Toews – Kane – DeBrincat3:58
xG 0.06–0.03 (64%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Kane – Kubalik – Borgstrom2:09
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Murphy10:57
xG 1.39–0.45 (75%)attempts 18–10goals 2–1
- Jones – Jones5:28
xG 0.07–0.05 (62%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- McCabe – Stillman3:25
xG 0.02–0.08 (21%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Larsson – Crouse9:31
xG 0.59–0.29 (67%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Ladd – Boyd – Keller3:38
xG 0.16–0.02 (89%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Galchenyuk – O'Brien – Schmaltz2:56
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton6:24
xG 0.73–0.76 (49%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDineen – Lyubushkin12:18
xG 0.31–0.18 (62%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo13:01
xG 0.65–0.94 (41%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
- Stralman – Moser13:13
xG 0.16–0.66 (20%)attempts 6–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).